Misleading Result Means Mattressers are Overpriced

Atletico were held to a 1-1 draw by Alaves last week.

Atletico Madrid is below Leganes on the Spanish Primera Division ladder following one round but one expects the Mattressers to leapfrog the Cucumber Growers on Saturday.

Football is a low-scoring sport and sometimes raw results can be misleading. That is certainly the case with regards to Atletico Madrid’s Spanish Primera Division 1-1 home draw versus Alaves in the first batch of matches, an incredible game that the Mattressers dominated throughout but could not seal the deal. It took 90 minutes for Atletico to convert its superiority over Alaves into a goal and, when it came, it was Mattressers debutant Kevin Gameiro who hit the back of the net. But Atletico relinquished its hard-earned lead in stoppage time, Manu Garcia equalising for Alaves totally against the run of play. Atletico forced 20 of the Spanish Primera Division match’s 22 corner kicks and the Mattressers saw two of their efforts bounce back off the woodwork. Such was Atletico’s control that Mattressers goalkeeper Jan Oblak barely touched the ball before Garcia scored very late on.

One was expecting bookmakers to quote Atletico Madrid at much shorter odds than those of -175  with many bookmakers, including William Hill, about Diego Simeone’s side winning at Leganes. At the end of the day, Atletico was a penalty shootout away from winning last season’s UEFA Champions League when Leganes was getting promoted from the Spanish Segunda Division. The Spanish Primera Division may be home to three of the world’s top teams but it does not have the depth of, say, the English Premier League and newly promoted sides should struggle versus the likes of Atletico, Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Had Atletico Madrid beaten Alaves in its Spanish Primera Division opener then one is confident that the Mattressers would be trading at odds of around -333  to post an away win over Leganes. One views odds of -175  about Atletico getting the better of Leganes as a clear value betting opportunity.

Several bookmakers, including 888Sport and Unibet, are offering odds of +100  about both teams scoring in the Spanish Primera Division game between Eibar and Valencia.

Eibar kicked off its Spanish Primera Division campaign with a 1-2 loss at Deportivo, a defeat that ensured that its poor form from last term carried over into this one. Eibar has won one of its last 15 Spanish Primera Division matches, failing to keep a single clean sheet in that period.

Valencia had a nightmare beginning to its Spanish Primera Division program, losing 2-4 at home to Las Palmas despite opening the scoring in the sixth minute. Valencia has not impressed during its pre-season preparations, its results including back-to-back failures against English Premier League sides. Valencia has not kept a clean sheet in any game, irrespective of its status, since it beat Eibar 4-0 at home during the latter stages of last term’s Spanish Primera Division, a match in which Paco Alcacer bagged a hat-trick.

Finally, one watched Athletic stumble to a 1-2 Spanish Primera Division loss at Gijon last weekend and, on the evidence of that effort, one finds to hard to pick anything other than a Lions home loss to Barcelona on Sunday, an option that is available at odds of -189  with numerous bookmakers, including Ladbrokes and SkyBet.

Barcelona encountered Athletic four times across various competitions last term and those games resulted in Barca victories by scores of 1-0, 2-1, 3-1 and 6-0.

Tips Summary

Atletico Madrid to beat Leganes
Saturday 27th August, 21:15 GMT
Odds:  -175

Eibar v Valencia – Both Teams to Score
Saturday 27th August, 17:15 GMT
Odds:  +100

Barcelona to beat Athletic Bilbao
Sunday 28th August, 19:15 GMT
Odds:  -189

La Liga

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