Unattractive odds mean that Real Madrid does not warrant headlining many Spanish Primera Division betting previews but the Meringues are overpriced to defeat Sociedad on Sunday after leading at the half-time interval.
Sociedad is fifth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder at the halfway point of the season but La Real are a long way off Real Madrid’s class. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Real enjoys a big lead over Sociedad – 11-4-3 overall and 7-2-0 if one counts only games featuring teams in the top 10 – and the Meringues thrashed La Real 3-0 in August’s reverse league fixture.
Coral appears keen to take on Real Madrid, offering odds of -125 about the Meringues landing the half-time/full-time double result for the 11th time in its 19th Spanish Primera Division game. Real is the Spanish Primera Division’s best first-half performer, primarily because the Meringues have scored 26 goals in their 18 opening periods. Socidead ranks sixth on the Spanish Primera Division’s half-time ladder but below halfway for goals scored. In short, one thinks that Sociedad will not be able to go goal for goal with Real.
There does seem to be a large class gap between the Spanish Primera Division heavyweights – Real Madrid, Sevilla and Barcelona this term, with Atletico Madrid a little bit off the pace – and sides such as Sociedad. For example, in the Spanish Primera Division, Sociedad has lost 0-3 at home to Real, lost 0-4 at home to Sevilla and drawn 1-1 at home to Barcelona. Sociedad is 1-1-4 in its six Spanish Primera Division matches versus fellow top-seven teams and La Real have lost each of their three league away games against sides ranked in the top 13. Sociedad required a couple of penalty kicks to post its most impressive Spanish Primera Division result – a 2-0 home victory over Atletico – so one is taking the view that La Real are really not that good.
Real Madrid has won each of its last four Spanish Primera Division meetings with Sociedad, leading at half time and full time in three of them, including both on home soil.
Sevilla rewarded one’s Spanish Primera Division faith last weekend with a 4-3 thriller at Osasuna, and one is going to stick with the Red and Whites for their road trip to Espanyol on Sunday. Many bookmakers, including Bet365, are offering odds of +120 about Sevilla returning from the city of Barcelona with three more priceless Spanish Primera Division points.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Sevilla boasts a 10-4-5 advantage over an Espanyol team that lost what was a remarkable reverse 4-6 and has struggled versus sides above and around it on the ladder. Espanyol is 0-4-4 in its eight Spanish Primera Division matches against teams above it on the ladder and 0-5-5 versus sides ranked higher than 12th. Espanyol is yet to register a Spanish Primera Division home win over a team outside the bottom four and its negative goal difference compares unfavourably to Sevilla’s mark of positive 17.
Finally, Alaves and Atletico Madrid tend to feature in low-scoring Spanish Primera Division games so one thinks that under two and a half goals is overpriced at odds of -152 with Marathonbet, a bookmaker that likes to stand out.
Alaves has played 19 Spanish Primera Division matches and a competition-high 12 of them have gone under two and a half goals, including six of its nine home games. Eleven of Atletico Madrid’s 19 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals, including six of its 10 away games. Atletico and Alaves drew 1-1 in the first round of the Spanish Primera Division and, peculiarly, both sides rustled the onion bag in second-half stoppage time.
Real Madrid HT/FT Double Result
Sunday 29th January, 19:45 GMT
Sevilla to beat Espanyol
Sunday 29th January, 15:15 GMT
Alaves v Atletico Madrid – Under 2.5 Goals
Saturday 28th January, 15:15 GMT