Mattressers to Put Foxes Tie to Bed Inside 51 Minutes

Atletico lead Leicester 1-0 in the Champions League.

Atletico lead Leicester 1-0 in the Champions League.

Atletico Madrid is not the biggest name among the UEFA Champions League quarter-finalists but it is the worst possible opponent for a Leicester team that is 0-1 down going into Tuesday’s second leg at the King Power Stadium.

Leicester boss Craig Shakespeare felt that the penalty kick that Atletico Madrid received in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League tie was soft but, if anything, the result was kind to the Foxes. Leicester did not manage an effort on target at the Vincente Calderon and the Foxes were under so much pressure that they picked up three yellow cards, one of which may be vital in determining the outcome of the second leg. Robert Huth is suspended for Leicester and he is one of the rocks at the heart of the Foxes defence. With Leicester having to chase the game versus one of Europe’s most adept counter-attacking sides, the Foxes face a difficult task in preventing Atletico scoring what would be an important away goal given the state of the tie and the competition rules.

Atletico Madrid is a worthy favourite to win Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League quarter-final leg but one fears that the Matressers may switch off late in the game if, say, they lead Leicester 1-0 on the night and the Foxes need three goals to go through. One would rather back Atletico to pierce Leicester’s reshuffled, weakened defence before the clock reaches 51 minutes, an option that is available at odds of -120  with Bet365. Leicester has not kept a clean sheet in any of its 10 English Premier League matches against the top six teams at the time of writing – Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Everton. Indeed, Leicester has shut out its opponent just seven times in its 32 English Premier League games. Atletico has scored in 25 of its 32 Spanish Primera Division matches, including on the road to both Barcelona and Real Madrid.

One cannot let the opportunity to back Real Madrid at odds of +140  with Betfair and William Hill for a home win pass by even though the Meringues do not need to beat Bayern Munchen on Tuesday to qualify for the UEFA Champions League semi-finals following their Allianz Stadium victory last week in which they defeated the Reds 2-1 away.

Cristiano Ronaldo scored two second-half goals – one before Bayern Munchen star Javi Martinez received his marching orders and one after the Reds were reduced to 10 men – as Real Madrid seized control of the UEFA Champions League clash of the titans. One is willing to bet that Real is superior to Bayern and that means that odds of +140  about the Meringues winning the second leg are over the top. Real is 12-4-0 in its 16 Spanish Primera Division home games and, while Bayern is 10-3-2 on its 15 German Bundesliga road trips, the Reds lost 0-1 at third-placed Hoffenheim, lost 0-1 at fourth-placed Dortmund and drew 1-1 at fifth-placed Hertha – they have yet to visit second-placed Leipzig.

Fabinho being banned is a big blow to Monaco so one is not going near the French Ligue 1 leader’s UEFA Champions League match at home to Dortmund on Wednesday and the same goes for Barcelona versus Juventus on the same night – the odds look wrong but one can find plenty of reasons to steer clear.

One’s third UEFA Champions League pick is a second play in Tuesday’s game between Real Madrid and Bayern Munchen. Real is going to get plenty of looks at Bayern goalkeeper Manuel Neuer because the Reds have to score at least two goals at the Santiago Bernabeu so Bet365 may regret offering odds of -120  about the Meringues scoring before 44:00 has expired. Real has scored in every one of its 53 competitive matches since drawing 0-0 at home to Manchester City 12 months ago.

Tips Summary

Atletico Madrid 1st goal before 51 minutes
Tuesday 18th April, 19:45 BST
Odds:  -120

Real Madrid to beat Bayern Munich
Tuesday 18th April, 19:45 BST
Odds:  +140

Real Madrid 1st goal before 44 minutes
Tuesday 18th April, 19:45 BST
Odds:  -120