There is no shortage of interesting punting propositions on the Spanish Primera Division coupon, the most attractive of which is Atletico Madrid to beat Betis to nil on Saturday.
One is convinced that Atletico Madrid will improve its Spanish Primera Division home record to 11-3-1 with three points versus Betis. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Atletico holds a 14-1-4 advantage over Betis and that includes leads of 6-0-1, 9-0-2 and 14-1-2 when one excludes various low-ranking teams.
Atletico Madrid has played 30 Spanish Primera Division games for 21 victories, including an amazing 17 wins to nil. Diego Simeone has built Atletico’s success on the Spanish Primera Division’s best defence – 19 clean sheets and 14 goals let in says it all – and the Mattressers have nothing to fear from a Betis side that is the league’s lowest scorer.
The generally available odds of -227 about Atletico Madrid defeating Betis are more than fair but one gets greedy from time to time and one prefers the odds of +110 available with Bet365, BetVictor and Paddy Power about a home win to nil.
Betis has found the back of the net only 27 times in its 30 Spanish Primera Division matches, it has failed to score in its league away games against Barcelona, Real Madrid and Villarreal and it has not scored more than once in any of its 13 divisional fixtures versus teams in the top nine.
If one was Betis boss Juan Merino one would be focusing on the promoted side’s three remaining home matches against teams below it on the Spanish Primera Division ladder because it may not get another point from its other five games, all of which are versus top-nine outfits.
One has made money opposing Eibar in its Spanish Primera Division matches against the league’s leading lights and Villarreal is overpriced to beat the Gunners on Sunday.
Villarreal has a 9-5-5 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Eibar and that includes advantages of 0-0-3 and 1-2-8 when one works one’s way down the ladder and just crunches the numbers of games featuring the top sides. For example, Villarreal is 7-5-3 against the Spanish Primera Division’s top 10 teams, whereas Eibar is only 1-4-10.
Marathonbet is offering odds of +170 that Villarreal gets the better of Eibar and strengthens its grip on the Spanish Primera Division’s fourth UEFA Champions League spot.
Sevilla has won each of its last 17 home matches across all competitions, it has won each of its last 13 Spanish Primera Division home games and it boasts an 11-3-5 collateral form lead over Sociedad. So good is Sevilla’s home data that one is willing to make little of its 0-2 loss to Sociedad in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture.
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 31’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Vallecano 8*-1-10 versus Getafe
Atletico Madrid 14*-1-4 versus Betis
Las Palmas 8*-0-11 versus Valencia
Barcelona 11*-2-6 versus Real Madrid
Celta 7-3-9* versus Deportivo
Athletic 12-3-4* versus Granada
Malaga 12-2-5* versus Espanyol
Eibar 5*-5-9 versus Villarreal
Sevilla 11-3-5* versus Sociedad
Levante 8*-1-10 versus Gijon
Atletico Madrid to beat Real Betis to Nil
Saturday 2nd April, 15:00 GMT
Villarreal to beat Eibar
Sunday 3rd April, 17:15 GMT
Sevilla to beat Real Sociedad
Sunday 3rd April, 19:30 GMT