Maroons and Goddess to Equal Morning Glory

Atalanta beat Torino 2-1 in the reverse Serie A fixture.

Atalanta beat Torino 2-1 in the reverse Serie A fixture.

Torino against Atalanta will be the early Italian Serie A match on Sunday morning and the teams are a good punt to go over two and a half goals.

You should get out of bed on Sunday expecting to see goals given the Italian Serie A statistics of Torino and Atalanta. Two-thirds of Torino’s 21 Italian Serie A games have gone over two and a half goals, including 80 per cent of its 10 home matches. Likewise, two-third of Atalanta’s 21 Italian Serie A games have gone over two and a half goals, including seven of its 11 away games – sorry but the fractions and percentages did not come out as nicely for the latter.

The reverse Italian Serie A fixture between Atalanta and Torino resulted in a 2-1 home victory for the Goddess in which they fought back from conceding a 54th-minute lead to the Maroons. Each of the last two Italian Serie A matches between Atalanta and Torino have gone over two and a half goals and, given the data of the sides this term, one was expecting over two and a half goals to be well below the even-money mark. Torino’s defence is not up to the level required for the Maroons to sustain an Italian Serie A championship challenge but their attack is sufficiently strong to puncture Atalanta’s highly ranked rearguard.

Two strong attacks and a weak home defence should make for a relatively high-scoring Italian Serie A match and one was expecting to see top odds of around -143  for over two and a half goals so Marathonbet‘s quote of -101  is headline material.

An Italian Serie A game that may not be so heavy on goals is Sunday’s clash between Sampdoria and Roma. Marathonbet is teasing punters with odds of +118  about under two and a half goals and one rates that as a value punting proposition.

Twelve of Sampdoria’s 21 Italian Serie A matches have gone under two and a half goals, including six of its 10 home games. Only eight of Roma’s 21 Italian Serie A matches have gone under two and a half goals but six of its 11 away games have remained under the popular total and the CAF Africa Cup of Nations means that the Yellow and Reds will be without their Egypt forward Mohamed Salah. Each of Roma’s three Italian Serie A matches since Christmas have gone under two and a half goals and Salah has missed every one of them.

Roma beat Sampdoria 3-2 in September’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture but there are grounds for ignoring that result and favouring the recent data pertaining to the Yellow and Reds, along with Samp’s historically low-scoring numbers.

Finally, Napoli and Palermo will wrap up the Italian Serie A round on Sunday and one is confident that the Partenopei will do a number on the Pink and Blacks. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Napoli holds a 15-2-2 lead over Palermo and the reverse fixture four months ago resulted in a 3-0 road triumph for the Partenopei.

Napoli is Italian Serie A’s best first-half performer with a 10-7-4 record compared to Palermo’s statistics of 1-11-9 that ranks it second worst. Coral is offering odds of -175  about Napoli leading Palermo at both half time and full time this weekend. Napoli has won each of its last three Italian Serie A games versus Palermo, leading two of them at the break and hitting the lead in the other after 47 minutes.

Tips Summary

Torino v Atalanta – Over 2.5 Goals
Sunday 29th January, 11:30 GMT
Odds:  -101

Sampdoria v Roma – Under 2.5 Goals
Sunday 29th January, 14:00 GMT
Odds:  +118

Napoli to beat Palermo
Sunday 29th January, 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -175