Malaga to Prove It Is Better than Its Ranking

Malaga have won four out of five at home to Gijon

Malaga should be much higher up the Spanish Primera Division ladder and one expects the Anchovies to climb above halfway, albeit perhaps only temporarily, by beating Gijon in the opening game of the 29th round of championship matches.

No team on the bottom half of the Spanish Primera Division ladder has acquitted itself better in big games than Malaga, with the Anchovies not losing any of its 16 matches versus sides ranked in the top 10 by more than one goal. Indeed, Malaga is 4-6-6 against the Spanish Primera Division’s top 10 teams and 4-3-5 versus the league’s bottom 10 sides.

One’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis is supportive of Malaga’s quality relative to Gijon as well. Malaga enjoys a 12-1-6 Spanish Primera Division collateral form lead over Gijon, including an 8-0-0 edge if one only counts games featuring the league’s top eight teams. Gijon did manage to defeat Malaga 1-0 in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture but the promoted side’s form has nosedived over the last month and a bit and it is positioned one rung off the foot of the ladder on merit.

Bet365 and Marathonbet are quoting odds of -175 about the Spanish Primera Division round kicking off with a Malaga victory and one thinks that the Anchovies are a decent bet to come out on top of Gijon in Friday’s curtain raiser.

Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match between Levante and Valencia is a local derby in which the Bats will be backing up from a UEFA Europa League home game against Leverkusen but one cannot ignore them at odds of +190  with Bet365.

Like Malaga, Valencia is a team that should be much higher up the Spanish Primera Division ladder because the Bats have, by and large, performed well versus the elite sides such as Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Real Madrid, Sevilla and Villarreal. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Valencia boasts a 12-0-7 lead over Levante, including a 3-0 win in October’s reverse fixture. But Valencia has Spanish Primera Division collateral form edges over Levante of 4-0-1 and 11-0-2 if one only counts matches featuring sides in the top five and the top 13 respectively. It is those numbers that lead one to nominate Valencia among one’s three Spanish Primera Division picks.

Rounding out one’s Spanish Primera Division selections is the team that one opposed strongly last time out, Eibar. Barcelona battered Eibar 4-0 to easily land one’s Spanish Primera Division headline pick but one thinks that the Gunners are overpriced to bounce back against Vallecano.

Skybet is taking a risk in quoting odds of +240  about an Eibar win in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division game. Eibar enjoys a 12-2-5 Spanish Primera Division collateral form lead over Vallecano and the false favourite is one of those sides that one cannot trust at relatively short price. After all, Vallecano has conceded a Spanish Primera Division-high 60 goals in its 28 matches – half a dozen more goals than Espanyol – plus Eibar won November’s reverse fixture 1-0.

Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 29’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.

Malaga 12-1-6* versus Gijon
Barcelona 16*-3-0 versus Getafe
Celta 6*-3-10 versus Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 15*-1-3 versus Deportivo
Vallecano 5-2-12* versus Eibar
Levante 7-0-12* versus Valencia
Sevilla 8-5-6* versus Villarreal
Athletic 10*-4-5 versus Betis
Las Palmas 4-2-13* versus Real Madrid
Granada 9*-0-10 versus Espanyol

Tips Summary

Malaga to beat Gijon
Friday 11th March, 19:30 GMT
Odds:  -175

Valencia to beat Levante
Sunday 13th March, 11:00 GMT
Odds:  +190

Eibar to beat Vallecano
Saturday 12th March, 21:05 GMT
Odds:  +240

La Liga
Primera Division

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