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Little Zebras to Earn their Stripes in Round Opener

March 16, 2018

Udinese are overpriced to beat Sassuolo in Serie A.

You do not have to wait long for the best bet on the Italian Serie A card because Udinese is overpriced to beat Sassuolo in the first game of the 29th round of matches.

The odds that bookmakers are offering about Udinese getting the better of Sassuolo for the second time in Italian Serie A this season do not make any sense with the Little Zebras trading at prices that one would expect to see listed for a home team preparing to host a higher ranked side. Udinese, however, is 11th on the Italian Serie A ladder having earned nine points more than Sassuolo from the same number of games. No Italian Serie A team has scored fewer goals than Sassuolo, with the Black and Greens having hit the back of the net only 16 times in their six wins, six draws and 15 losses. Sassuolo is in real danger of dropping out of Italian Serie A after securing promotion in 2014.

The Italian Serie A ladder is not lying about the relative strengths of 11th-ranked Udinese and 17th-ranked Sassuolo. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Udinese boasts a 12-3-4 edge over Sassuolo, including a 10-2-1 progressive lead as one works one’s way down the ladder. Udinese has won just one of its last nine Italian Serie A matches, including losing four divisional games on the bounce, but Sassuolo has not registered a top-flight triumph since Christmas and October’s reverse fixture resulted in a 1-0 away success for the Little Zebras.

And the news for Udinese supporters gets better. Sassuolo has two players – Federico Peluso and Antonino Ragusa – suspended for Saturday’s Italian Serie A match. You could argue that Sassuolo has more for which to play than Udinese but there is still more than one quarter of the competition remaining so surely the Little Zebras are not dreaming of faraway beaches and their summer holidays already. Back the home side at odds of 2.2  with BetVictor.

Internazionale is scrapping with Roma and Lazio for a spot in next term’s UEFA Champions League and the Black and Blues appeal at 2.1  with 888Sport to win at Sampdoria on Sunday.

According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Internazionale enjoys an 11-4-4 advantage over Sampdoria and that includes the October’s reverse fixture ending 3-2 in favour of the Black and Blues after they led 3-0 nine minutes into the second half. Sampdoria must lift itself from its shocking 1-4 Italian Serie A loss at Crotone last weekend and it must do so without the banned Karol Linetty.

One has a hunch that Fiorentina will find it difficult to back up from its emotional 1-0 Italian Serie A home victory over Benevento in which the Purples honoured their late former captain, Davide Astori. One suspects that burying Astori and playing an Italian Serie A game that came to a standstill in the 13th minute will have taken its toll on everyone associated with Fiorentina. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Fiorentina is level with Torino on 8-3-8 but the Purples have not done as well as the Maroons versus most of the division’s leading lights and bookmakers such as Jetbull are listing the hosts at odds of 2.27.

Tips Summary

Udinese to beat Sassuolo
Saturday 17th March, 17:00 GMT
Odds: 2.2

Inter Milan to beat Sampdoria
Sunday 18th March, 11:30 GMT
Odds: 2.1

Torino to beat Fiorentina
Sunday 18th March, 14:00 GMT
Odds: 2.27


  • Inter Milan
  • Serie A
  • Torino
  • Udinese

    About the author

    Eric Roberts
    Eric Roberts

    Sports Journalist

    Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.