Levante and Almeria to play out snoozefest

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Under two and a half goals in the match between Levante and Almeria is the best bet on the Spanish Primera Division long list, with BetVictor offering odds of -154  about the option.

Levante’s nine Spanish Primera Division games have had an average of 3.00 goals and five of its league matches have gone over two and a half goals but those statistics are misleading. Levante has scored just four Spanish Primera Division goals – none of them on its home pitch – and it has been on the receiving end of a couple of 0-5 home thrashings against the division’s big two, Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Almeria’s nine Spanish Primera Division games have been the least entertaining of the entire league with them having an average of 1.89 goals, seven of them going under two and a half goals and only one of them featuring more than three goals – and that was its 2-2 home draw versus Elche in which there was a first-half penalty and a second-half red card.

Levante was the king of under two and a half goals in last season’s Spanish Primera Division – 25 of its 38 matches went under the popular line and its games had a league-low average of 2.05 goals – and that coupled with Almeria’s numbers this term makes one want to make the exotic bet.

Rayo Vallecano should be shorter than odds of +110 with many bookmakers, including Boylesports, Sky Bet and William Hill, to accrue three points from its Spanish Primera Division home match against recently promoted visitor Eibar.

Eibar has made a respectable start to life in the Spanish Primera Division but its 11th position on the ladder owes a lot to wins over 17th-ranked Sociedad and 19th-ranked Elche. Eibar is without a victory in its last five Spanish Primera Division games and it is the wrong end of the collateral form argument with Rayo Vallecano based on their seven common opponents in the league this term. One thinks that only two of those seven collateral form lines favour Eibar and that Rayo Vallencano, with home advantage for Monday’s match, should be trading at a shade of odds on to win.

Backing Real Madrid to smash opponents has been a good way to make money in recent weeks and one cannot see any reason not to back the Meringues to cover a one-goal handicap in its Spanish Primera Division road game versus Granada.

Granada has had one of the softest Spanish Primera Division schedules in the opening nine rounds yet it has not made the most of its program, collecting only nine points and getting hit for six by Barcelona, including a Neymar hat-trick.

Real Madrid has won each of its last six Spanish Primera Division matches by more than one goal and, according to one’s analysis of the collateral form lines, the Meringues ought to be aiming to beat Granada by three goals on Saturday. Real Madrid and Granada have played five of the same teams in the first nine Spanish Primera Division rounds and all five collateral form lines favour the Meringues by at least three goals and two by an incredible seven goals.

Both 888sport andUnibet are offering odds of -147 about Real Madrid posting a two-plus-goal away win over Granada and that looks like a sound play, certainly more attractive than the odds of -400  about a Meringues win by any margin.

Tips Summary

Levante v Almeria Under 2.5 goals
2nd November 18:00 GMT
Odds:  -154
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Rayo Vallecano to beat Eibar
3rd November 19:45 GMT
Odds:  +110
Where to Bet: Boylesports, Sky BetWilliam Hill

Real Madrid -1 v Granada
1st November 15:00 GMT
Odds:  -147
Where to Bet: 888sport, Unibet

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