Legia Warszawa represents the best bet on a busy night of UEFA Europa League action as it looks to book its place in the knockout stage with a home win over Metalist in Poland.
Top of UEFA Europa League Group L at the halfway point of the group stage, Legia Warszawa defeated Metalist 1-0 in Ukraine two weeks ago and, according to all reports, its away win was more than deserved. Legia Warszawa took the lead in the 28th minute though Ondrej Duda and it blew a golden chance to double its advantage when it was awarded a penalty kick in the 52nd minute only for Metalist goalkeeper Olexandr Goryainov saved Ivica Vrdoljak’s inaccurate shot. Statistically, Legia Warszawa had the better of the match and now it gets the opportunity to qualify for the UEFA Europa League last 32 by completing a quick-fire double.
Legia Warszawa has won four of its last five matches – it required extra time to put pay to Pogon Szczecin in last week’s Polish Cup tie – and it has strung together a home sequence of eight wins and three draws since losing 0-1 to Belchatow in between its UEFA Europa League dates with St Patrick’s of Ireland. Metalist has not won any of its last four games across all competitions, failing to find the back of the net in three of those matches, plus it has not won any of its last eight away games without extra time.
Sky Bet is offering odds of -143 that Legia Warszawa beats Metalist in Poland, odds that one thinks a couple of rolls over the top given the head-to-head form line and the form with which the two teams present for Thursday’s match.
Besiktas inflicted Partizan’s heaviest-ever European home defeat two weeks ago when it scored two goals in each half to triumph 4-0 in Serbia. Bwin is offering odds of -222 that Besiktas franks the form with a win over Partizan in Turkey when UEFA Europa League Group C plays its fourth round.
One is not reading too much into the fact that Besiktas lost 0-2 at home to Istanbul rival Fenerbahce in Turkish Super Lig action on Sunday. Besiktas had Olcay Sahan sent off in the first half yet still it bossed the derby game for long spells in what was a difficult match for the referee, Bulent Yildirim, who brandished 10 yellow cards and one red card.
What one likes is that Besiktas beat Partizan 4-0 in Serbia and the poor away record of the Belgrade-based side outside of domestic tournaments against half-decent European teams.
Finally, the first UEFA Europa League Group H game between Wolfsburg and Krasnodar was a cracker and there is every reason to expect that the second match will be another highly entertaining affair packed with goalmouth action.
Krasnodar dominated the first 36 minutes of its UEFA Europa League Group H match versus Wolfsburg in Russia before home skipper Andreas Granqvist scored an own goal against the run of play and then, to make matters worse for the host, Kevin De Bruyne scored Wolfsburg’s second goal 39 seconds into the second period. Both Granqvist and De Bruyne scored again – the former for the correct side this time – before the final whistle blew with Wolfsburg defeating Krasnodar 4-2.
Such is the state of the UEFA Europa League Group H ladder that Krasnodar cannot really afford to play for a draw so one expects the Russian Premier League team to have a real crack at Wolfsburg, which is one of the kings of European football when it comes to betting on both sides to score.
Wolfsburg has scored in 13 of its 15 games across all competitions this season and both teams have scored in 10 of those matches. Krasnodar’s statistics are not as compelling – it has scored in 17 of its 23 games, with both sides scoring in nine of those matches – but that has a lot to do with it featuring in several hopelessly one-sided games.
Legia Warszawa to beat Metalist
6th November 20:05 GMT
Where to Bet: Sky Bet
Besiktas to beat Partizan
6th November 18:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Bwin
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