Deportivo is fighting for its Spanish Primera Division life but there is no way that Super Depor should be as short in betting markets as they are to get the better of Leganes in Friday’s opening match of the championship’s 34th round.
We have reached the stage of the Spanish Primera Division season when bookmakers pay more attention to the needs of teams rather than the ladder and the results up until this point. It is one of the great fallacies of football that some sides have more for which to play than others, with people forgetting that the sport is not just about teams; players have contracts worth millions of euros on the line and many of them are playing for their immediate futures.
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Leganes is 14th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder, four rungs and 12 points above Deportivo with five rounds of the competition remaining. Leganes did not build its Spanish Primera Division advantage over Deportivo by accident; the Cucumber Growers hold a 12-2-5 collateral form lead over Super Depor, including progressive counts of 3-0-0, 4-0-1 and 8-1-2. What one is saying is that Leganes is clearly superior to Deportivo and that it should be odds-on to accrue three Spanish Primera Division points from a home game against Super Depor, regardless of how desperate the latter is to boost its tally before the season ends. Odds of 37/252.48+1481.481.48-0.68 with 888Sport are more than generous. One could argue, actually, that Deportivo’s predicament is almost helpless because Super Depor trails 17th-ranked Levante by seven Spanish Primera Division points with only 15 available. Also, Deportivo’s last five Spanish Primera Division matches are versus Leganes (away), Barcelona (home), Celta (away), Villarreal (home) and Valencia (away), which is not the easiest set of fixtures for a poor side.
Malaga’s relegation from the Spanish Primera Division was confirmed last week so the Anchovies may not be in the headspace to deal with the visit of Sociedad on Saturday.
Sociedad slumped 0-2 at home to Malaga – and the Anchovies missed a penalty kick as well – but one is willing to put down that result to a bad day at the office for La Real and bet based on the results across 33 rounds of Spanish Primera Division action. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Sociedad boasts a 15-0-4 edge over Malaga and that includes a progressive count of 6-0-2 that reports that La Real have outperformed the Anchovies in their respective games against teams in the top eight.
Neither Sociedad nor Malaga is having a Spanish Primera Division campaign to remember – La Real are 12 points off where they were following 33 rounds last term and the Anchovies are 19 points adrift of the pace that they set last season – but the former has won three league matches without a conceding a goal in its current hot streak, their latest triumph being a 3-0 home defeat of Atletico Madrid. Back Real at 4/51.80-1250.80-1.250.80 with BetVictor.
Athletic versus Levante in Bilbao will wrap up the Spanish Primera Division round on Monday and one likes the odds of 33/501.66-1520.66-1.520.66 available with 888Sport about the Lions devouring the Frogs.
December’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 2-1 in favour of Athletic and we are getting nice prices about the Lions completing the double because bookmakers think that punters will take under the odds about Levante because the Frogs are one rung about the relegation zone.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Athletic enjoys an 11-4-4 advantage over Levante, including a 6-2-0 progressive count that establishes that the Lions have performed much better than the Frogs against the league’s leading lights. Athletic is 5-8-3 at home in the Spanish Primera Division, whereas Levante is 2-7-7 on its travels so include the Lions in your weekend wagers.
Leganes to beat Deportivo
Friday 20th April, 20:00 GMT
Sociedad to beat Malaga
Sunday 22nd April, 15:15 GMT
Athletic Bilbao to beat Levante
Monday 23rd April, 20:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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