One remains committed to opposing Milan every time that a decent opportunity presents itself and that is the case when the Red and Blacks visit Lazio in Italian Serie A on Sunday.
Fair play to Milan, it has won back-to-back Italian Serie A matches to lift itself onto the top half of the ladder but both of its victories were at the San Siro and one of them was a 2-1 win over Sassuolo in which its opponent went down to 10 men when the score was 0-0 in the 29th minute. One is unconvinced that Milan is a good Italian Serie A side, with bookmakers continuing to price up Red and Blacks games as though they are legitimate UEFA competition contenders.
Unlike Milan, Lazio is taking part in a UEFA tournament this season so it has proven its chops. Also, Lazio is enjoying a dream run of home success across all competitions having won each of its eight Olimpico games this term, five of them to nil, including its 3-0 thrashing of Torino last weekend.
Odds of +110 are close to what one would expect to see for an Italian Serie A home team entertaining a side of a very similar standard from the same division. One cannot rate Milan on a par with Lazio – it defies logic – so the latter is overpriced at those odds with BetVictor. The question is this: at what odds should Lazio be trading? Well, one thinks that Lazio should be a shade of odds on, perhaps -111 . Lazio has a UEFA Europa League Group G match on Thursday but it is against the section’s worst team, Rosenborg, and a loss would not rate a disaster to its chance of qualifying for the event’s knockout stage. One expects Lazio to be fully switched on when Milan arrives.
Frosinone has lost all bar one if its Italian Serie A games without scoring a goal and, if you saw how it fared against Juventus in the match that it drew 1-1, you would argue that the promoted team should have lost that clash to nil also.
Whether Frosinone flies or falls in Italian Serie A is going to boil down to what it does on its home pitch, with games away from its base being of secondary importance. Frosinone is away to Italian Serie A’s third-placed side, Fiorentina, on Sunday and surely there is value in PaddyPower’s odds of +100 about the favourite beating the underdog to nil.
The only goal that Frosinone has scored away from home in Italian Serie A was Leonard Blanchard’s 92nd-minute header off a corner kick because Juventus went to sleep in the dying seconds. The dominance of Juventus in that Italian Serie A match was huge and, on the balance of play, a fair result would have been either 4-0 or 5-0 to the Old Lady.
Carpi and Verona have Italian Serie A’s most porous defences after 10 rounds but so anaemic are their attacks that one is keen on Marathonbet’s odds of -133 about under two and a half goals in their relegation six-pointer on Sunday.
Only two of Carpi’s 10 Italian Serie A games have gone under two and a half goals but that is because last season’s Serie B champion has been leaking a lot. Only Bologna has scored fewer Italian Serie A goals than Verona, which is really missing Luca Toni’s presence up front. One thinks that it reasonable to predict that Carpi will not concede more than one goal versus Verona under the circumstances, while seven of the latter’s 10 Italian Serie A matches have gone under two and a half goals in spite of its winless start.
Lazio to beat Milan
1st November 19:45 GMT
Fiorentina to beat Frosinone to nil
1st November 11:30 GMT
Carpi v Verona Under 2.5 goals
1st November 14:00 GMT
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