The best bet of the 28th round of Italian Serie A matches is over two and a half goals in Sunday’s game between Lazio and Verona, a play that is trading at odds of -137 with 888Sport.
The only statistical knock on backing over two and a half goals between Lazio and Verona is that the reverse Italian Serie A fixture ended 1-1, although Luis Cavanda received his marching orders midway through the second half after which point Stefano Pioli’s away team settled for a draw. Every other piece of data points to over two and a half goals being the smartest weekend Italian Serie A wager.
Lazio is Italian Serie A’s most prolific team when it comes to over two and a half goals and Verona ranks third with Cagliari splitting the sides. Eighteen of Lazio’s 27 Italian Serie A matches have gone over two and a half goals and the line has been breached in 16 of Verona’s 27 league games. And the statistics are even more compelling when one views Lazio’s home games and Verona’s away matches in isolation. Ten of Lazio’s 13 Italian Serie A home matches have gone over two and a half goals, while nine of Verona’s 14 away games in the competition have featured at least three goals.
Sticking with Sunday’s Italian Serie A match between the teams positioned third and 14th and one is keen to support Lazio at odds of -222 with Bwin to collect maximum points.
Lazio is Italian Serie A’s form side, winning each of its last five league games, including flogging Fiorentina 4-0 two rounds ago. Verona’s Italian Serie A form is none too bad – it has accrued eight points from its last four matches – but its recent fixtures have not been as tough as those of Lazio. Also, Verona will line up at Lazio without two of its regular starters through suspension. Juanito and Jacopa Sala are serving bans after misbehaving in Verona’s 2-0 home win over Napoli in which Luca Toni bagged a brace of goals.
You can combine both bets and back Lazio to win plus over 2.5 goals at +110 with Boylesports.
One has an Italian Serie A betting rule at the moment and it is to oppose Parma at every reasonable opportunity. The term crisis club does not do justice to Parma, which is 16 points adrift of safety at the foot of the Italian Serie A ladder, its pitiful plight hindered by the deduction of three points – 25 per cent of the points that it had earned on the pitch.
Torino’s domestic and international campaigns have hit the skids in recent weeks following three damaging defeats but the Bulls have the perfect chance to get back to winning ways when they visit Parma on Sunday. Parma has three men suspended – goalkeeper Antonio Mirante, defender Massimo Gobbi and midfielder Jose Mauri – and it is not as though Roberto Donadoni has heaps of alternatives at his disposal.
Below strength and with nothing for which to play except professional pride, Parma is impossible to support. Torino is available at odds of +100 with many bookmakers, including Bet365 and PaddyPower, and one can see the Bulls kicking off as odds-on favourites across the industry.
Lazio v Verona Over 2.5 goals
22nd March 19:45 GMT
Where to Bet: 888Sport
Lazio to beat Verona
22nd March 19:45 GMT
Where to Bet: Bwin
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