The Rome derby is the highlight of Italian Serie A’s 15th round and one disagrees with bookmakers which think that Lazio are unworthy of favouritism versus Roma on Saturday.
The Italian Serie A season is more than one-third complete so one is inclined to trust one’s collateral form analysis and it rates Lazio higher than Roma. Lazio and Roma have run into 10 of the same Italian Serie A teams and one’s collateral form analysis has the White and Sky Blues enjoying a 5-1-4 lead over the Yellow and Reds. Roma has been taking out its anger on several of Italian Serie A’s lesser lights but, if one only assesses matches featuring sides ranked in Italian Serie A’s top 12, Lazio’s advantage blows out to 3-0-1.
That Roma has lost just three of its last 31 Italian Serie A games goes a long way to explaining the considerable respect for the Yellow and Reds among the bookmaking fraternity but Lazio is the nominal home team this weekend and the White and Sky Blues are faring even better than their rivals.
Away clean sheets for Roma are as rare as hen’s teeth and the Yellow and Reds are likely to line up against Lazio without one of their star players, Mohamed Salah, after he sustained an ankle injury during training. On the other hand, Lazio may have every one of its regular starters available so Simone Inzaghi is spoilt for choice.
Lazio is trading at odds of 99/502.98+1981.981.98-0.51 with Marathonbet when one’s tissue price about the White and Sky Blues was 3/22.50+1501.501.50-0.67 . Lazio is entitled to favouritism and, rather than wimp out with a draw-no-bet wager, one is going to pick the White and Sky Blues to beat Roma for the first time in any competition since 2013 when they won an Italian Coppa Italia match.
One’s second Italian Serie A selection is both sides to score in Sunday’s game between Sampdoria and Torino, an option that is available at odds of 71/1001.71-1410.71-1.410.71 with 188Bet.
Both teams have resulted the onion bag in each of Torino’s 10 Italian Serie A matches against sides ranked outside the bottom four, while Sampdoria has stopped only Internazionale at home and Empoli on the road from scoring at least one goal in its 14 divisional games. The most recent Italian Serie A meeting of Sampdoria and Torino resulted in a 2-2 draw in which the Maroons twice pulled back Samp.
Finally, Internazionale is over its true odds to derive something from its Italian Serie A visit to Napoli on Friday. Internazionale is 21/202.05+1051.051.05-0.95 with Bet365 not to lose.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Napoli boasts a 5-1-4 edge over Internazionale given the results of their respective matches versus identical foes but the Black and Blues have fared better than the Blues against the division’s guns, including Juventus and Roma.
Napoli failed to get the better of Sassuolo last time out and the Blues continue to look short of firepower due to Arkadiusz Milik’s long-term injury. Internazionale beat Fiorentina 4-2 in its most recent Italian Serie A fixture and the Black and Blues appear to be responding well to Stefano Pioli, who has filled Frank de Boer’s shoes.
Lazio to beat Roma
Sunday 4th December, 14:00 GMT
Sampdoria v Torino – Both Teams to Score
Sunday 4th December, 14:00 GMT
Inter Milan or Draw
Friday 2nd December, 19:45 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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