Lazio to Capitalise on Superiority over Torino

Lazio secured a late win over Sampdoria last week.

Lazio entertains Torino in the final game of the Italian Serie A round and one thinks that it is worth waiting to unload on the White and Sky Blues to beat the Maroons.

Usually one would be reluctant to back a UEFA Europa League traveller in its next domestic match but Lazio will have four days to recover from its game against Zulte-Waregem in Belgium and the White and Sky Blues do not have to field their strongest side in their midweek assignment because they are assured of their place in the knockout stage.

What is compelling about Lazio in its Italian Serie A home match versus Torino is that, according to one’s collateral form data, the White and Sky Blues have a perfect set of numbers compared to the Maroons. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Lazio enjoys an 11-0-0 advantage over Torino, which means that the White and Sky Blues have outperformed the Maroons against each of the 11 common opponents that they faced in the league this term.

Last season’s corresponding Italian Serie A fixture ended 3-1 in favour of Lazio and the White and Sky Blues were a last-minute penalty-kick concession away from doing the double over the Maroons. Torino is yet to get the better of a team ranked higher on the Italian Serie A ladder and one does not expect the Maroons to avoid defeat at Lazio on Monday, where the home side can be backed at  -200   with BetVictor.

SPAL and Verona clash in an Italian Serie A relegation scrap on Sunday and one thinks that the former should be odds on to accrue three points from the hugely important game.

Just one point splits SPAL and Verona on the Italian Serie A ladder but there are statistical grounds for thinking that the White and Blues are a lot better than Hellas, and are worth backing at +100   with 888Sport. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, SPAL holds a 7-2-3 edge over Verona and that lead becomes 6-2-0 if one only counts matches featuring the eight highest foes that both the White and Blues and Hellas have encountered.

Bookmakers are going purely off the Italian Serie A ladder in trading their markets regarding the result of the game between SPAL and Verona but, if you dig beneath the surface, you find that the White and Blues are unlucky to be just one point and one rung above Hellas after 15 rounds of action.

Roma played Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday but the Yellow and Reds did not leave Italy and they have a fair amount of time to recover for their Italian Serie A match at Chievo on Sunday. Therefore, one is tipping Roma to justify odds-on favouritism at  -161   with 888Sport on its Italian Serie A trip.

Eleven Italian Serie A sides have run into both Chievo and Roma this term and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Yellow and Reds boast a 8-2-1 advantage over the Flying Donkeys. Roma has won each of its last three games versus Chievo, including registering a 5-3 away victory in last season’s corresponding Italian Serie A fixture. Indeed, Roma has not lost to Chievo since 2013.

Below are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form figures for all 10 matches in the 16th round of the championship so you can see the data for yourself.

Cagliari 3-2-7
Juventus 6-2-4
Chievo 1-2-8
Napoli 9-0-3
SPAL 7-2-3
Udinese 7-2-2
Sassuolo 6-2-4
Milan 5-2-5
Genoa 2-4-6
Lazio 11-0-0

Tips Summary

Lazio to beat Torino
Monday 11th December, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -200

SPAL to beat Verona
Sunday 10th December, 14:00 GMT
Odds:  +100

Roma to beat Chievo
Sunday 10th December, 11:30 GMT
Odds:  -161

Serie A

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