Osasuna supporters must think that one is picking on their team but it is nothing personal and simply a case of making money out of the inabilty of the Reds to be anything close to competitive in their Spanish Primera Division games.
Relegation back to the Spanish Segunda Division is almost guaranteed for Osasuna and, if Reds fans were honest, they would probably say that they wished their side had not fluked promotion through the play-offs in the first place. Osasuna is seven points adrift at the foot of the Spanish Primera Division ladder and 10 points away from safety after racking up 1-7-17 numbers in the first 25 rounds. Osasuna has the Spanish Primera Division’s most porous defence and it has lost each of its last five matches while conceding a minimum of three goals per game. Eibar must be embarrassed that it allowed Osasuna to register its one and only Spanish Primera Division victory in October and on the home pitch of the Gunners as well.
Las Palmas is typical of so many Spanish Primera Division teams – strong at home and weak away. Las Palmas won its first Spanish Primera Division road match 4-2 at Valencia but the Yellows have gone 0-3-8 on their travels since then, saving their best form for home sweet home. Las Palmas is 6-5-2 in its 13 Spanish Primera Division home games, although the Yellows have not beaten a side positioned higher than seventh on the ladder. Obviously, there would be dangers to backing Las Palmas to beat a decent Spanish Primera Division team but Osasuna is one of the worst sides to grace the league in recent seasons and, at odds of -154 with William Hill, one is willing to headline the Yellows ahead of their Sunday match.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Las Palmas holds a 14-2-3 edge over Osasuna, including a positive 2-2 draw for the Yellows when they visited the Reds in October. Las Palmas faught back from 0-2 down at half time to prevent Osasuna posting what would have been its first Spanish Primera Division win one week before the Reds eventually broke their maiden.
One profited from backing Villarreal to record a midweek Spanish Primera Division away success over Osasuna and the Yellow Submarine obliged with a 4-1 victory. One is sticking with Villarreal this weekend, too, as the Yellow Submarine is nicely priced at odds of -125 with several bookmakers, including William Hill, to do the business at home to Espanyol on Saturday.
Villarreal is sixth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder, three rungs and six points above Espanyol. But according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, which compares how Villarreal and Espanyol have fared against identical opponents, the Yellow Submarine enjoys a 10-4-5 lead over the Budgerigars.
Captain Bruno and vice captain Mario Gaspar are free to return from suspension for Villarreal and the Yellow Submarine are unbeaten in 15 of their last 16 games versus Espanyol across all competitions, which is quite some achievement.
Finally, one is tipping Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match between Gijon and Deportivo to go over two and a half goals, an option that is available at the tasty odds of +120 with BetVictor and Coral. Eighteen of Gijon’s 25 Spanish Primera Division games have gone over two and a half goals, including 10 of its 12 home matches. Twelve of Deportivo’s 24 Spanish Primera Division games have gone over two and a half goals, including seven of its 13 away matches. October’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 2-1 in favour of Deportivo so one does not agree with the bookmaking fraternity that over two and a half goals should be odds against.
Las Palmas to beat Osasuna
Sunday 5th March, 17:30 GMT
Villarreal to beat Espanyol
Saturday 4th March, 17:30 GMT
Gijon v Deportivo – Over 2.5 Goals
Sunday 5th March, 11:00 GMT