Juventus to beat Genoa and keep a clean sheet in the process is the most appealing bet of the 23rd round of Italian Serie A games, with BetVictor offering odds of 3/41.75-1330.75-1.330.75 about Juve extending their run of victories with a win to nil.
Ten consecutive victories across all events and 11 Italian Serie A wins in a row entitle Juventus to the title of the form team of European football – Juve have not conceded a goal for more than 470 minutes as they made strong progress in the league and, also, the Italian Coppa Italia. If it was not for Napoli’s almost equally impressive run of results than Juventus would be top of the Italian Serie A ladder despite having made a terrible start to its campaign.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Juventus is vastly superior to Genoa and Wednesday’s match ought to be a cakewalk for the title favourite. Juventus has a 14-3-2 Italian Serie A collateral form edge over Genoa and September’s reverse fixture resulted in a 2-0 victory for Juve. Further Italian Serie A collateral form segmentation shows that Genoa has not outperformed Juventus against any top-12 side, with the Red and Blues trailing the White and Blacks 0-3-9 when just assessing games versus those teams.
Juventus has conceded the fewest goals per Italian Serie A home match, while Genoa has netted an average of less than one goal per Italian Serie A away game. Genoa has failed to score in any of its six Italian Serie A matches against the sides ranked in the top five and each of its five toughest divisional road games has resulted in a loss to nil.
Fiorentina’s Italian Serie A collateral form advantage over Carpi is almost as strong as the one that Juventus enjoys over Genoa. Consequently, one is picking Fiorentina at odds of 9/201.45-2220.45-2.220.45 to defeat Carpi on Wednesday.
Carpi has not lost any of its last five Italian Serie A matches but the White and Reds, playing their first season in Italy’s top flight, have not beaten any of the top 10 teams, accruing four points via draws in 11 such games. Therefore, one is not surprised that Fiorentina boasts a 14-2-3 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Carpi, including a 1-0 away victory for the Purples five months ago. The Italian Serie A ladder is not lying about the relative ability levels of Fiorentina and Carpi and one should not fall for the latter’s recent unbeaten streak.
One’s third Italian Serie A selection is under two and a half goals in Wednesday’s match between Verona and Atalanta, an option that is available at odds of 3/41.75-1330.75-1.330.75 with Marathonbet.
Winless Verona is bottom of the Italian Serie A ladder and it has scored a league-low 14 goals. Seventeen of Verona’s 22 Italian Serie A games have gone under two and a half goals, including nine of its 11 home matches. Thirteen of Atalanta’s 22 Italian Serie A games have gone under two and a half goals, including seven of its 11 away matches. Only Frosinone has earned fewer Italian Serie A points than Atalanta over the last six rounds so, while one expects Verona to play aggressively in what is a must-win game for the cellar dweller, one expects the visitor to play with a healthy dose of caution. Atalanta is eight points clear of the Italian Serie A relegation zone in spite of its recent hiccups so a draw at Verona would be a decent outcome.
Finally, here are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form figures for every one of Round 23’s games. An asterisk signifies that the side enjoys a head-to-head advantage.
Sassuolo 6*-1-12 versus Roma
Frosinone 4-2-13* versus Bologna
Verona 4-6-9* versus Atalanta
Fiorentina 14*-2-3 versus Carpi
Internazionale 10*-2-7 versus Chievo
Juventus 14*3-2 versus Genoa
Palermo 4-2-13* versus Milan
Lazio 6-0-13* versus Napoli
Sampdoria 10-0-9* versus Torino
Empoli 10*-4-5 versus Udinese
Juventus to beat Genoa to nil
3rd February 19:45 GMT
Fiorentina to beat Carpi
3rd February 19:45 GMT
Verona v Atalanta Under 2.5 goals
3rd February 19:45 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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