Inter to Translate Friendly Form Into League Points

inter milan beat atalanta 1-0

It can be hard to get a line on newly promoted teams but, as luck would have it, Carpi played a pre-season match against Internazionale and that is one of the reasons why one rates Inter as the best bet on the Italian Serie A program.

Carpi is participating in Italian Serie A for the first time after being crowned champion of Italian Serie B last season. Carpi lost its Italian Serie A debut 2-5 at Sampdoria, which must go down as a dreadful result in light of Samp’s dismal UEFA Europa League campaign that saw it exit long before the group stage. That is the first reason why one is keen to oppose Carpi in its first Italian Serie A home game.

The second reason is that Carpi faced Internazionale in a friendly last month and the result was far from favourable for the Italian Serie A newcomer. Carpi fell behind inside the first four minutes and, although it got back on level terms midway through the first half, Internazionale raced into a 4-1 lead straight after the second half got under way, eventually posting a 4-2 victory.

Internazionale was good value for its two-goal win over Carpi and, although Sunday’s stakes are higher with Italian Serie A points up for grabs, one cannot go past Inter at odds of -118 with several bookmakers, including Bet365 and Coral.

It is worth noting that Carpi trailed Sampdoria 0-5 after 37 minutes in Italian Serie A’s first round and that it netted its second consolation goal when Samp was down to 10 men.

Frosinone finished second in last term’s Italian Serie B and, like Carpi, its top-flight debut ended in tears with Torino condemning it to a 1-2 home defeat. Frosinone’s next Italian Serie A assignment is away to Atalanta on Sunday and one is keen to oppose Roberto Stellone’s travelling team.

Atalanta, despite being reduced to 10 men in the 71st minute when Carlos Carmona was sent off for two yellow cards, was within a minute or two of holding Internazionale to a 0-0 draw at the San Siro. Atalanta played as well as one could have expected and it was heart breaking when Internazionale scored an injury-time winner through new boy Stevan Jovetic.

Frosinone built its Italian Serie B promotion campaign on its home form because its away numbers were relatively poor – it won only three of its last 15 road trip in the second tier. Atalanta did not please its home crowd all that often in last season’s Italian Serie A but it is an established top-flight side and that in itself is sufficient reason for it to be trading at shorter odds than the -125 available with Betfred to beat Frosinone.

Finally, Milan manager Sinisa Mihajlovic may regret signing Mario Balotelli – no-one has managed to tame him – but even that strange piece of transfer business is insufficient to put one off backing the San Siro team to defeat Empoli.

Both Milan and Empoli tasted defeat in the Italian Serie A first round but the former had the excuse of encountering Fiorentina in Florence whereas the latter had, on paper, a much easier task versus Chievo on its home pitch. It is a lot easier to forgive a hyped Milan side losing 0-2 at Fiorentina than it is to let slide Empoli’s 1-3 home loss to Chievo. One opposed Milan in its first Italian Serie A game because bookmakers failed to respect Fiorentina and last term’s ladder but one accepts that Mihajlovic’s team is likely to improve significantly, starting on Sunday when Coral is offering odds of -175 for a home triumph.

Tips Summary

Inter to beat Carpi
30th August 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -118

Atalanta to beat Frosinone
30th August 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -105

Milan to beat Empoli
29th August 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -175

Italian Serie A
Italian Serie B
Mario Balotelli
Roberto Stellone
Sinisa Mihajlovic
Stevan Jovetic

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