Watford skipper Troy Deeney is a big Birmingham fan so one is expecting him to be up for Saturday’s visit of English Premier League cellar dweller Aston Villa to Vicarage Road.
Deeney scored what proved to be Watford’s winning goal in November’s reverse English Premier League fixture and, boy, did he let Aston Villa’s supporters know about it, dancing in front of the Holte End. Watford’s English Premier League results over the last two months have been disappointing – it has accrued only five points from its last eight games – but the Hornets will line up against an Aston Villa team that has lost 10 divisional matches on the spin. And do not underestimate how much defeating Aston Villa will mean to Deeney and the influence that he exerts over the Hornets.
Watford is 12th on the English Premier League ladder but, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Hornets are vastly superior to Aston Villa, boasting a 13-4-2 advantage. SkyBet are listing odds of -143 about Watford condemning Aston Villa to its 26th English Premier League loss of its miserable season and remember that the Villans are 0-3-13 on the road since upsetting Bournemouth in the opening round. That away victory feels very long ago now.
It is remarkable that some people are questioning the future of Watford boss Quique Sanchez Flores, all because the form of the English FA Cup semi-finalist has fallen away in the last couple of months. Watford is all but guaranteed to be an English Premier League team for another campaign and it was 90 minutes away from reaching its first English FA Cup final since 1984. One thinks that the Watford players are 100 per cent behind Flores and that they will prove that with a performance sufficiently good to beat Aston Villa.
Everton was the other side to taste defeat in the English FA Cup semi-finals, conceding a goal with almost the last kick of its game versus Manchester United to lose 1-2. One does not want to bet on the headline result of Everton’s English Premier League match against Bournemouth but one likes the idea of wagering on over two and a half goals on Saturday.
Eighteen of Everton’s 34 English Premier League games have gone over two and a half goals, including 10 of its 17 home matches. Twenty of Bournemouth’s 35 English Premier League games have gone over two and a half goals, including 10 of its 17 away matches. November’s reverse English Premier League fixture resulted in an incredible 3-3 draw in which both sides found the back of the net during stoppage time.
Marathonbet is offering odds of -123 that there are over two and a half goals in Everton’s English Premier League game versus Bournemouth, a match that may be one of the last in which Roberto Martinez coaches the Toffees. Most Everton fans are sick of hearing Martinez talk up the Toffees even though they are 11th on the English Premier League ladder and owners of the division’s second worst home record.
It is a tough English Premier League card – it is often that way at the end of seasons – and one’s third pick is Arsenal at odds of -345 with several bookmakers, including Coral, Paddy Power and Totesport, to defeat Norwich on Saturday.
Arsenal is five points clear of Manchester United in fourth place on the English Premier League ladder but third place is worth considerably more than fourth because of how the UEFA Champions League works. Arsenal will be motivated to put Norwich to the sword and, according to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, the Gunners are much better than the Canaries. Arsenal enjoys a 15-0-4 English Premier League collateral form lead over Norwich.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for each of this weekend’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Swansea 5-1-13* versus Liverpool
Everton 10*-3-6 versus Bournemouth
Newcastle 5-3-11* versus Crystal Palace
Stoke 10-3-6* versus Sunderland
Watford 13*-4-2 versus Aston Villa
West Bromwich 3-3-13* versus West Ham
Arsenal 15*-0-4 versus Norwich
Manchester United 5*-3-11 versus Leicester
Southampton 7-0-12* versus Manchester City
Chelsea 5*-2-13 versus Tottenham
Watford to beat Aston Villa
Saturday 30th April, 15:00 GMT
Everton v Bournemouth – Over 2.5 Goals
Saturday 30th April, 15:00 GMT
Arsenal to beat Norwich
Saturday 30th April, 17:30 GMT
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