There are several value betting opportunities in the seventh round of English Premier League games, with it simple to make cases for Watford, Burnley and Leicester to get something out of their respective weekend road trips.
Apart from being handed a second English Premier League thumping by Manchester City in the space of four months, Watford has made a decent start to its English Premier League campaign. Yes, Watford is likely to slide down the English Premier League ladder when its schedule gets tougher but, for the purposes of wagering on Saturday’s game between West Bromwich and the Hornets, all that matters is how the weekend combatants have fared in equivalent assignments. Watford and West Bromwich have had two common English Premier League opponents – Bournemouth and Brighton – and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Hornets have outperformed the Baggies against both the Cherries and the Seagulls.
Watford is 2-1-1 in its four English Premier League matches versus West Bromwich in the last two seasons, including posting a 2-0 home victory when the teams met most recently in April. West Bromwich is not a side against which one likes to bet, particularly at The Hawthorns, so one is picking Watford to come away from the Black Country with a draw at the attractive odds of +230 with 188Bet.
Burnley has lost just one of its half a dozen English Premier League games and, with one not convinced that Everton is a team worthy of the healthy respect that bookmakers are affording it, the Clarets are overpriced to take a point from their visit to Goodison Park on Sunday at +285 with Marathonbet. Like Watford over West Bromwich, Burnley boasts a 2-0-0 English Premier League collateral form lead over Everton. That is because Burnley has outperformed Everton in their respective English Premier League matches against Chelsea and Tottenham and, while the Clarets benefited from the Blues having two players sent off at Stamford Bridge, they did not receive any such assistance from Spurs when they drew 1-1 at Wembley Stadium. Everton, on the other hand, lost 0-3 at home to Tottenham in a dismal display.
Burnley slumped to a 1-3 English Premier League loss at Everton in April but it was 1-1 until the Clarets conceded an own goal and the now-departed Romelo Lukaku hit the back of the net. Everton without Lukaku is a very different proposition and the Toffees will be backing up from hosting Apollon in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, whereas Burnley will be fully rested having not played since last Saturday.
The third and final English Premier League draw bet worth striking is Leicester to earn a point from its Saturday showdown with Bournemouth on England’s south coast, with the option available at odds of +255 with Unibet. Leicester and Bournemouth have each run into Arsenal and Brighton on their English Premier League journeys, with the Foxes having fared better than the Cherries versus both the Gunners and the Seagulls. Leicester has won only two of its last 24 English Premier League away games and the Foxes are not at full strength due to the absences of, among others, Adrien Silva and Robert Huth so the draw is the logical way to bet given the collateral form figures that one has presented. Three of the four English Premier League meetings between Leicester and Bournemouth have ended without a winner.
West Brom and Watford to Draw
Saturday 30th September, 15:00 GMT
Everton and Burnley to Draw
Sunday 1st October, 14:15 GMT
Bournemouth and Leicester to Draw
Saturday 30th September, 15:00 GMT