Not since Bayern Munchen scored two goals in the last nine minutes of its German Bundesliga game at Mainz in March has the O-Fives lost a league match in front of their own fans. Mainz has won six and drawn two of its last eight German Bundesliga home games, keeping half a dozen clean sheets, including one in its 3-0 defeat of the same opposition last season. That match was as good as over inside the first 39 minutes by which stage Mainz had fired three goals past Bremen goalkeeper Raphael Wolf.
Last weekend’s 0-3 loss at Wolfsburg was Mainz’s first poor German Bundesliga result this season. How Bremen supporters wished that they could say that their team had had just one off day this term. Bremen has failed to win any of its nine German Bundesliga games, failing to keep a clean sheet also. Furthermore, Bremen has conceded at least two goals in each of its five German Bundesliga away matches. If Bremen leaks two goals at Mainz then, most likely, it will lose the game.
Mainz defeated Bremen home and away in the German Bundesliga last season, scoring three goals in both matches. On the road for the first time since its comprehensive 0-6 loss at Bayern Munchen – it was not just the result that was awful but the manner of its defeat – Bremen will have to improve out of sight to prevent Mainz securing three valuable German Bundesliga points in its quest to qualify for Europe again.
The German Bundesliga game between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg is ripe for a bet on both sides to score, an option that is available at odds of -161 with Ladbrokes. Stuttgart has been involved in several high-scoring German Bundesliga matches recently and Wolfsburg is the king of both teams to score.
One tipped that the German Bundesliga game between Frankfurt and Stuttgart would go over two and a half goals but one was not expecting punters who backed over eight and a half goals to collect. Stuttgart led Frankfurt 3-1 after 51 minutes, it trailed 3-4 after 65 minutes and it led 5-4 after 84 minutes before its opponent had a man sent off. It was the fourth of Stuttgart’s last five German Bundesliga matches to go over three and a half goals, with both teams scoring as well.
It is increasingly common knowledge that Wolfsburg has found the back of the net in 34 of its last 35 German Bundesliga games, matches in which both sides have scored 29 times.
Factor in that both of last season’s German Bundesliga games between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg failed to produce a single clean sheet – the Wolves won 3-1 at home and 2-1 away – and there is a compelling case for snapping up odds of -161 .
Finally, there is a strong German Bundesliga collateral form argument for one to back Schalke at odds of -105 with BetVictor to get the better of Augsburg in Gelsenkirchen.
Schalke and Augsburg have had six common opponents in the first nine German Bundesliga rounds and, in one’s opinion, five of those collateral form lines favour Schalke with one tie. Factor in Schalke’s home advantage, its improved form under Roberto Di Matteo and its six points from its German Bundesliga dates with Augsburg last term and one thinks that BetVictor will do plenty of business at its top quote.
Stuttgart v Wolfsburg BTTS
1st November 14:30 GMT
Where to Bet: Ladbrokes
Schalke to beat Augsburg
31st October 19.30 GMT
Where to Bet: BetVictor