Home in on Getafe in its Series versus Malaga

Getafe have won the last four at home to Las Palmas.

Getafe have won the last four at home to Las Palmas.

The home team has won each of the last eight matches between Getafe and Malaga and one is backing the sequence to stretch to nine games when the sides meet in the Spanish Primera Division’s 19th round opener on Friday.

Incredibly, Getafe has beaten Malaga 1-0 in each of the last four Spanish Primera Division matches that the Dark Blues have hosted and the most recent corresponding fixture was decided in the second minute of the September 2015 game.

Getafe is 11th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder compared to Malaga’s 19th ranking and the positive goal difference of the Deep Blues at almost the halfway point of the season indicates that the players on the books of the Madrid-based team are punching above their weight. Bookmakers are not affording enough respect to Getafe, at least relative to Malaga, which is five points adrift of safety near the bottom of the Spanish Primera Division ladder.

According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Getafe enjoys a 10-4-4 advantage over Malaga and the progressive count favours the Deep Blues at 6-2-2 if only results against top-10 opponents are collated. Getafe is 5-1-3 in its nine Spanish Primera Division home matches, including defeating third-placed Valencia and sixth-ranked Villarreal. Malaga is 1-0-8 on its Spanish Primera Division travels and, while the Anchovies have visited each of the highest placed six sides, they have come up short at 13th-ranked Girona and 18th-positioned Alaves also.

Malaga’s injury list is one of the lengthiest in the Spanish Primera Division and, statistically, the Anchovies are the league’s worst travellers so Getafe is one’s top selection at odds of -120   with BetVictor.

Philippe Coutinho is not in line to make his Barcelona bow but Barca should still have too much ability for Sociedad in Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division game in San Sebastian at -217   with ComeOn.

Barcelona is 15-3-0 in the Spanish Primera Division and there is substance to Barca’s form relative to that of Sociedad, which boasts a 6-5-7 record. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Barcelona holds a 14-2-2 edge over Sociedad and Barca have fared better than La Real versus each of the top four teams.

Last term, Barcelona and Sociedad crossed paths four times and Barca ended up with two home wins, one away victory and one road draw. Sociedad has shown itself to be no match for the Spanish Primera Division’s leading lights on several occasions this season and Barcelona is its brightest.

One was tempted by Atletico Madrid and Villarreal not to lose at Real Madrid but the Mattress Makers have three men serving suspensions and the Yellow Submarine have struggled in most of their Spanish Primera Division games against highly ranked rivals, particularly away from home.

Consequently, one’s third Spanish Primera Division pick is Valencia, which is overpriced at odds of  +136   with Jetbull to accrue three points from its trip to Deportivo on Saturday. Valencia is unbeaten in its last five matches versus Deportivo, all of which have taken place in the Spanish Primera Division. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Valencia holds a 13-1-4 lead over Deportivo and the Bats have outperformed Super Depor against almost all of the league’s heavyweights, including each of the top four.

Getafe 10-4-4
Girona 9-2-7
Real Madrid 5-4-8
Eibar 5-2-11
Deportivo 4-1-13
Levante 6-2-10
Alaves 7-1-10
Espanyol 8-1-9
Sociedad 2-2-14
Betis 7-3-7

Tips Summary

Getafe to beat Malaga
Friday 12th January, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -120

Barcelona to beat Real Sociedad
Sunday 14th January, 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -217

Valencia to beat Deportivo
Saturday 13th January, 19:45 GMT
Odds:  +136