Home in on Hertha versus Flattered Frankfurt

Hertha Berlin have won eight of the last ten on home soil.

Home is where the heart is for Hertha and it is one’s top pick for the 22nd round of German Bundesliga matches when the Old Lady entertains Frankfurt in Berlin on Saturday.

Hertha was unlucky not to become just the second side to beat Bayern Munchen in the German Bundesliga when it led from the 21st minute to stoppage time in last weekend’s marquee match. That Hertha is challenging for a UEFA Champions League is down to its German Bundesliga home results, with the Old Lady having an 8-1-1 record. Bayern and, inexplicably, Bremen are the only two teams to have avoided defeat at Hertha in the German Bundesliga.

Frankfurt let one down last weekend when it lost 0-2 at home to Ingolstadt in one of the shocks of the German Bundesliga season. Once bitten, twice shy. Frankfurt was seconds away from losing the reverse German Bundesliga fixture and that is another reason why one is opposing the Eagles against Hertha. Moreover, according to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Hertha leads Frankfurt 7-4-6.

Hertha is available at odds of +113  with Marathonbet to get the better of Frankfurt and that strikes one as more than reasonable in the circumstances. Frankfurt has visited only three of the top nine German Bundesliga sides and the Eagles have lost each of those road matches without scoring a goal. Indeed, Frankfurt has scored just two goals in its seven German Bundesliga away games versus teams ranked higher than 15th on the ladder. One thinks that there is an argument for Hertha being a legitimate odds-on chance against Frankfurt.

Last term’s corresponding German Bundesliga fixture ended in a 2-0 home triumph for Hertha and Frankfurt has not beaten the Old Lady in any of the five meetings of the sides.

Leipzig regained the winning thread in the German Bundesliga last time out and one is tipping the Red Bulls to make it two wins on the spin by defeating Koln on Saturday.

William Hill is listing odds of -137  about Leipzig, which holds an 11-0-6 German Bundesliga collateral form edge over Koln, posting a home victory over the Billy Goats. Leipzig is 8-1-1 in its 10 German Bundesliga home games, whereas Koln is 3-4-4 in its 11 divisional away matches. Moreover, Koln’s German Bundesliga numbers versus the top flight’s leading lights are disappointing – the Billy Goats are 0-4-3 in their seven league games against teams ranked first to eighth inclusive, including being 0-1-3 on the road.

The reverse German Bundesliga fixture in September ended in a 1-1 draw but Leipzig never trailed Koln and the Red Bulls won the corner-kick count by an emphatic 6-1 margin.

Finally, one is willing to take a punt on Bremen to register a surprise German Bundesliga win at Wolfsburg on Friday at +345  with Marathonbet.

Wolfsburg is 14th on the German Bundesliga ladder and the division’s lowest scorer so one does not think that the Wolves should be odds on to get the better of a Bremen side that, for all its faults, does know how to score goals. Bremen, which beat Wolfsburg 2-1 in the reverse German Bundesliga fixture five months ago, has scored in 19 of its 21 divisional matches, whereas the Wolves have fired blanks eight times, including in four of their 11 home games.

Bremen’s last trip to Wolfsburg ended in tears – the Green and Whites crashed to a 0-6 loss – but Alexander Nouri’s team has won each of its last two home matches versus a Wolves side that is a pale shadow of recent imitations.

Tips Summary

Hertha Berlin to beat Frankfurt
Saturday 25th February, 17:30 GMT
Odds:  +113

Leipzig to beat Koln
Saturday 25th February, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -137

Bremen to beat Wolfsburg
Friday 24th February, 19:30 GMT
Odds:  +345

Hertha Berlin
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen

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