INTER 2-1 FIORENTINA

Hits in Naples and Misses in Milan

INTER 2-1 FIORENTINA

There are two high-profile Italian Serie A games and we are tipping one to be low scoring and one to be high scoring.

Few Italian Serie A pundits would have predicted that the sixth round would kick off with Internazionale leading the way from Fiorentina but the teams will meet at the San Siro on Sunday in first and second position respectively. One is expecting a cagey affair and, therefore, odds of -109 with several bookmakers, including 888Sport and Unibet, about under two and a half goals is a standout wager.

Internazionale would be a perfect 6-0 under two and a half goals in Italian Serie A had Stevan Jovetic not converted an 89th-minute penalty kick in Inter’s 2-1 win at Carpi in the second round. Inter boss Roberto Mancini is getting closer and closer to a team that represents him more than his predecessor, Walter Mazzarri, and it would be fair to categorise his approach as safety first, hence why one thinks that there is a good chance that Inter’s run of low-scoring Italian Serie A matches is likely to continue.

Fiorentina has made the most of an Italian Serie A schedule that no-one could describe as particularly arduous to rack up 12 points from its first five games. Fiorentina, however, did fail its toughest Italian Serie A assignment so far this season, losing 1-3 at Torino on the day that Internazionale won 2-1 at Carpi. Fiorentina is similar to Inter in many respects but, if anything, the former is not quite to the quality of the latter. One thinks that Fiorentina manager Paulo Sousa will adopt a cautious approach at Inter on Sunday, looking to frustrate the home side that is not scoring freely in spite of its excellent results.

The state of the Italian Serie A ladder means that one is expecting Juventus to go for victory when it runs out to play Napoli in enemy territory on Saturday in the other massive match on the competition’s calendar this weekend.

Ten points off the Italian Serie A pace, draws are not much use to Juventus if it wants to get back into the title race – even draws against the division’s heavyweights. Promoted Carpi displayed very limited ambition versus Napoli in their Italian Serie A game on Wednesday – the Partenopei had more than two-third of possession – and that contributed to the match going under two and a half goals. Juventus cannot be anything like as passive as Carpi given its desperate need for Italian Serie A points so one is expecting Juve to contribute to what promises to be an end-to-end game.

Napoli had been on a run of 13 Italian Serie A matches with over two and a half goals until Carpi did not come to the party last time out. Marathonbet is offering odds of +121 that Napoli regains the over-two-a-half-goals thread in Italian Serie A, odds that are extremely enticing given that data.

Finally, Torino’s home form is of a sufficiently high quality to warrant backing the Maroons to beat Palermo on Sunday, an option that is available at odds of -125 with several bookmakers, including BetVictor.

Torino has won each of its last seven home games and its Italian Serie A victims this term have been second-placed Fiorentina (3-1) and fifth-placed Sampdoria (2-0). There is not quite the same depth to the Italian Serie A form of Palermo, which has stumbled to back-to-back losses, going down 2-3 at Milan and 0-1 at home to Sassuolo. The three Italian Serie A teams from which Palermo have taken points are positioned 16th, 17th and 19th on the ladder.

Tips Summary

Internazionale v Fiorentina Under 2.5 goals
27th September 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -110

Napoli v Juventus Over 2.5 goals
26th September 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -141

Torino to beat Palermo
27th September 14:00 GMT
Odds:  -125

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