Hannover to win the derby that is not a derby

One does not like to bet in derbies all that often but one cannot let Hannover go unbacked at odds of +120  with many bookmakers, including Bwin, Coral and Unibet, to take out its German Bundesliga game against northern rival Hamburg.

Hannover versus Hamburg is classed as a derby but more than 100 kilometres separate the cities and that is one of the reasons why one is willing to get involved in the German Bundesliga match. Others pertain to the form of the teams.

Following a fine set of pre-season results, including a 3-1 home victory over Lazio, Hannover kicked off its German Bundesliga campaign with a 2-1 come-from-behind home win over Schalke and backed up that result with a 0-0 draw at Mainz in which the 96ers had the most attempts on target.

Hamburg rode its luck to retain its German Bundesliga spot at the end of last season and, judging by its performances this term, it is going to be another miserable nine months for the former European champion. Hamburg needed penalties to get past Cottbus in the German DFB Pokal, followed that with a 0-0 draw at Koln and then proceeded to have its fans looking for razor blades by losing 0-3 at home to Paderborn.

Hannover should be odds on to accrue three points from its German Bundesliga home match versus Hamburg. Hannover won last season’s corresponding fixture 2-1, the 96ers have started this term in good form and Hamburg has earned one pathetic point from its first two German Bundesliga games against the two promoted sides. Hannover is a great bet.

One wants to oppose Mainz almost as much as one wants to oppose Hamburg so Hertha catches one’s eye at odds of +130  with several bookmakers, including 888sport, BetVictor and William Hill, to win its German Bundesliga home match against a team that is heading in the wrong direction.

Mainz blew its UEFA Europa League campaign by losing 2-3 on aggregate to Asteras and carried over its disappointing form into domestic competitions, bowing out of the German DFB Pokal and drawing its first two German Bundesliga games. Mainz is lucky not to be stuck at the foot of the German Bundesliga ladder because it was seconds away from losing 1-2 at Paderborn – it scored a late penalty kick – and it was on the back foot for much of its home match versus Hannover last time out that resulted in a 0-0 draw.

Much stronger teams than Hertha will come a cropper in games against Leverkusen this season so one is not concerned about its 2-4 German Bundesliga road loss and it led Bremen 2-0 at home in the opening round of the competition before giving away two second-half goals. One is not going overboard with Hertha because it is a side with weaknesses but it has shown that it can score goals and its win odds are attractive.

Finally, one is going to dust off the value card and pick Paderborn at odds of +200  with many bookmakers, including Bet365  and Boylesports, to get the better of fellow German Bundesliga new boy Koln on its home pitch.

Both Paderborn and Koln have played Hamburg in the German Bundesliga already and the collateral form line favours the top-flight debutant strongly. Furthermore, Paderborn had the better of last term’s league clashes between the teams, with our selection drawing 0-0 at home and winning 1-0 away. Only a stoppage-time Koln equaliser prevented Paderborn doing the double so Andre Breitenreiter’s side is a logical wager.

Tips Summary

Hannover to beat Hamburg
14th September 16:30 GMT
Odds:  +120
Where to Bet: Bwin, Coral, Unibet

Hertha to beat Mainz
13th September 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +130
Where to Bet: 888sport, BetVictor, William Hill

Paderborn to beat Koln
13th September 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +200
Where to Bet: Bet365, Boylesports


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