One is going to play the value card in three Spanish Primera Division matches in Round 28 of the competition, starting with Alaves to earn three points at Huesca on Saturday.
The odds available about Alaves beating Huesca are deluxe based purely on the Spanish Primera Division ladder – the Babazorros are fifth whereas their weekend hosts are 20th, which is a polite way of saying bottom. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Alaves holds an 11-3-5 lead over Huesca, including progressive counts of 0-0-3, 1-0-4 and 2-0-5. Granted, Alaves has not fared well on its travels to the four teams above it on the Spanish Primera Division ladder – the Babazorros have lost at Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid and Getafe without scoring a goal – but one’s collateral form data shows Huesca has performed even worse in such tests.
Huesca’s recent Spanish Primera Division form has given it some chance of avoiding relegation to Spain’s second tier and, for that, one affords a degree of respect to the side stuck in the league’s cellar. But Huesca has a long injury list for Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division game against Alaves and their absentees include two suspended players. Alaves is unbeaten in its last five Spanish Primera Division matches and the Babazorros are catching Huesca at the right time given their selection headaches and limited resources. November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 2-1 in favour of Alaves, which came from behind to win.
TOP TIP! – Alaves to beat Huesca @ 53/253.12+2122.122.12-0.47 with BetVictor
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TOP TIP! – Leganes and Girona to draw @ 11/53.20+2202.202.20-0.45
For one’s other Spanish Primera Division bets, one is going to wager on two draws – Leganes to draw with Girona on Saturday and Eibar to draw with Valladolid on Sunday at 11/53.20+2202.202.20-0.45 with Bet365.
Remarkably for the Spanish Primera Division’s 13th-ranked team, Leganes has lost only one of its 13 home league matches but six of them have ended as draws and just one game has had more than a one-goal margin. One respects the fact Leganes has beaten Spanish Primera Division leader Barcelona at home but, over the course of the season, one thinks there is sufficient evidence to suggest not much separates Leganes and 14th-ranked Girona. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Leganes enjoys the most slender of advantages over Girona – they were tied at 6-6-6 until one took into their respective results versus bottom-of-the-ladder Huesca. Girona has won each of its last two Spanish Primera Division away matches and one of those occurred at Real Madrid so the Red and Whites should not be scared of their Leganes assignment. Leganes and Girona drew 0-0 when they met in November so their previous Spanish Primera Division clash was tight.
Eibar v Valladolid – 17th March – 11:00 BST
TOP TIP! – Eibar and Valladolid to draw @ 59/203.95+2952.952.95-0.34
Eibar is short odds to get the better of Valladolid at 59/203.95+2952.952.95-0.34 with 188Bet but, according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, the gap between Sunday’s rivals is far less than the raw ladder suggests, with 10th-ranked Eibar’s edge over 16th-ranked Valladolid standing at a flimsy 9-2-8. Eibar and Valladolid drew 0-0 when they locked horns in November and clearly the value lies in betting on another Spanish Primera Division draw between the perennial top-flight strugglers.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Real Madrid 12-1-6
Leganes 6-6-6 7-6-6
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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