Atalanta is in a false position on the Italian Serie A ladder but the Goddess can do something positive about it through beating higher ranked Parma in Bergamo on Saturday.
On the merit of its Italian Serie A performances, Atalanta ought to be much higher on the ladder than the 15th rung the Goddess occupies after nine rounds. Atalanta has been hard done by in posting two wins, three draws and four losses and, if the Goddess can use last weekend’s 5-1 smashing of Chievo on their travels as a springboard, they should be pushing for one of Italian Serie A’s UEFA Europa League berths before the end of the 38-round competition.
Currently Parma is four points and four rungs ahead of Atalanta on the Italian Serie A ladder but, according to largely objective data, it is only a matter of time before the swap positions. Parma’s Italian Serie A expected points score is almost six lower than its actual tally and, if the world was a fair place in which everyone, including football teams, got what they deserved, the phoenix club would be in the relegation zone rather than the bottom of the top half.
Atalanta’s list of absentees has shrunk since the beginning of the Italian Serie A season and the Goddess should be close to full strength for the visit of a Parma side at -250 with Betway that will be without Emanuele Calaio through suspension.
TOP TIP! – Atalanta to beat Parma @ -250
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TOP TIP! – SPAL to beat Frosinone @ -125
SPAL stunned Roma in the most recent Italian Serie A round and one thinks the White and Blues can build upon their shock road success with a home win over Frosinone on Sunday at -125 with Bet365.
Frosinone is exactly the type of Italian Serie A team SPAL must beat on its home pitch if it is going to secure another year in Italy’s top flight. Frosinone’s defence is, clearly, not up to Italian Serie A standard and away from home the Canaries have conceded 12 goals in their four road matches, including at least three goals on three occasions.
Bottom of the real Italian Serie A ladder, Frosinone ranks 19th on the expected points ladder and their expected goal difference is the worst in the division. One could argue SPAL should be a little bit higher than its actual 13th position on the Italian Serie A ladder so the White and Blues, whose confidence must have soared since they beat Roma 2-0 in the capital last time out, are worth backing.
SPAL will be without its first-choice goalkeeper, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, following his red card last weekend so Alfred Gomis is set to start for the White and Blues.
TOP TIP! – Cagliari to beat Chievo @ -149
Finally, one is tipping Cagliari to condemn Chievo to its sixth consecutive Italian Serie A loss when the Red and Blues host the Flying Donkeys in Sardinia on Sunday at -149 with Betway and Black Type.
Cagliari is, arguably, punching above its weight in Italian Serie A but, while one expects the Red and Blues to end up fighting to remain out of the bottom three, one thinks they are highly likely to finish the season above Chievo. That is because, according to Italian Serie A expected points, Chievo is the worst team in the division and the Flying Donkeys will not be at full strength this weekend because Federico Barba is banned after being sent off against Atalanta in what was a crushing 1-5 home reverse.
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