If you are going to watch one UEFA Champions League match as a neutral observer this week then Tuesday’s Group F game between Hoffenheim and Lyon may be the one to view.
Hoffenheim has played 11 matches across all competitions and both teams have scored in every one of those games, with 10 of them going over two and a half goals. Hoffenheim is stuck at the foot of the UEFA Champions League Group F ladder on one point so, with trips to Lyon and Manchester City still to come, it is imperative the Kraichgauer gets three points from its home match versus the French Ligue 1 side if they are going to extend their involvement in the tournament.
According to German Bundesliga data, Hoffenheim’s eight league games should have been even more high scoring than they have been because the Kraichgauer have scored about three goals fewer than their performances have merited. Hoffenheim snapped its three-match losing streak when it beat Nurnberg 3-1 in the German Bundesliga on Saturday but the Kraichgauer had to come from behind after conceding an early penalty-kick goal to the struggling promoted team.
Lyon is fifth on the French Ligue 1 ladder but, according to expected points, the Kids should be third behind runaway leader Paris Saint-Germain and second-ranked Lille. Lyon’s defence is not one of French Ligue 1’s tightest and the Kids have particular issues at full back, with Ferland Mendy set to play on the opposite side of the pitch than his preferred flank for the second straight game. Attack may be the best form of defence for Lyon and, consequently, one is tipping an open match at Hoffenheim’s Wirsol Rhein Neckar Arena.
Some bookmakers are trying to duck bets on a high-scoring UEFA Champions League Group F game between Hoffenheim and Lyon but one thinks there is still juice to be squeezed in wagering on both sides to score at the available odds 1/21.50-2000.50-2.000.50 with Bet365.
TOP TIP! – Both teams to score in Hoffenheim versus Lyon @ 1/21.50-2000.50-2.000.50
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TOP TIP! – Ajax to beat Benfica @ 21/202.05+1051.051.05-0.95
Benfica could line up against Ajax in UEFA Champions League Group E action on Tuesday without its two regular central defenders. Ruben Dias is suspended so he will definitely miss out and Jardel is rated doubtful due to injury so Benfica’s defence is likely to have a makeshift look.
Using the UEFA Champions League Group E results in the first two rounds of matches the collateral form lines favour Ajax over Benfica, with the Sons of Gods outperforming the Eagles versus both AEK Athens and Bayern Munchen. Ajax has posted six consecutive home victories across all competitions and, at odds against, the Sons of Gods represent decent value at 21/202.05+1051.051.05-0.95 with Betway.
Tottenham v PSV – 24th October – 17:55 BST
TOP TIP! – Tottenham to beat PSV @ 1/12.00+1001.001.00-1.00
Even though one is picking Ajax to get the better of Benfica on Tuesday, one is not the biggest fan of Dutch Eredivisie sides when they encounter teams from one of Europe’s top leagues. That is the case when PSV, which leads the way in the Netherlands with an unblemished 9-0-0 divisional record, hosts English Premier League fourth-ranked side Tottenham in UEFA Champions League Group B fare on Wednesday.
Neither PSV nor Tottenham has earned a single UEFA Champions League Group B point but, according to one’s collateral form analysis, Spurs (at 1/12.00+1001.001.00-1.00 with Bet365) have done much better than the Red and Whites in their games versus Barcelona and Internazionale.
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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