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Go for goals in Stuttgart and Hamburg

January 23, 2014

The German Bundesliga kicks off again after five weeks off and the pick of the bets in the resumption round is over two and a half goals in the game between Stuttgart and Mainz.

Stuttgart and Mainz are locked together on the middle of the German Bundesliga ladder after 17 rounds, although Stuttgart has a match in hand having not played Bayern Munchen when it was scheduled to do so originally. Stuttgart is 10th on 19 points, five points behind ninth-placed Mainz on 24.

Both Stuttgart and Mainz are in the top half of the German Bundesliga goals per game chart. Stuttgart’s 16 top-flight matches have produced 60 goals at an average of 3.75 goals per game to rank Stuttgart matches third for goals. Mainz’s 17 top-flight games have produced 56 goals at an average of 3.29 goals per match to rank Mainz games seventh for goals.

Furthermore, ten of Stuttgart’s 16 German Bundesliga matches have gone over two and a half goals and 11 of Mainz’s 17 top-flight games have gone over two and a half goals. Also, Mainz beat Stuttgart 3-2 when they met in the opening round of the season and the league clash has gone over two and a half goals in each of the last five meetings of the teams.

BetVictor is offering odds of 1.75 that Stuttgart and Mainz combine for more than two and a half goals, a price that makes the option stand out from the German Bundesliga crowd.

Another over-two-and-a-half-goals play that appeals, albeit at lower odds, concerns the German Bundesliga match between Hamburg and Schalke, two of the league’s top entertainers.

Hamburg’s 17 German Bundesliga games have produced 71 goals at an average of 4.18 goals per match to rank Hamburg games second for goals – only Hoffenheim’s mean of 4.35 is higher. Schalke’s 17 German Bundesliga matches have produced 60 goals at an average of 3.53 goals per game to rank Schalke matches fourth for goals. The clash should be fun to watch.

Certainly the first meeting between Hamburg and Schalke this season was a ripper. Schalke opened the scoring in the first 120 seconds and it was 2-2 by the time that the sides ate their half-time oranges. Hamburg scored just after the break to lead for the second time in the game before Schalke’s Adam Szalai ended the scoring with 18 minutes remaining.

Also, trend fans will like the fact that German Bundesliga games between Hamburg and Schalke have a history of going over two and a half goals. Each of the last five meetings has produced dividends for over punters, while there has been only one under in the last ten encounters.

Nurnberg is the only German Bundesliga side not to register a victory so far this term but it has only been defeated six times in its 17 matches so it has lost fewer games than all bar the top seven teams. Therefore, Nurnberg is not the pushover that one may expect of a 17th-placed side with just 11 points.

Several bookmakers, including Irish highstreet bookmakers Boylesports are offering odds of 2.60 that Nurnberg gets off the German Bundesliga mark at long last by beating Hoffenheim. Nurnberg won each of its three friendly matches during the winter break and the reverse fixture ended in a 2-2 draw.

Finally, there is a case for backing Monchengladbach at odds of 9.00 with Sportingbet to inflict a rare loss upon Bayern Munchen. The Rags To Riches column covers this selection in detail but suffice to say that Monchengladbach’s German Bundesliga home record is superior to Bayern Munchen’s away record in the same competition and the odds are way out of whack, particularly given the post-holiday scheduling.

About the author

Eric Roberts
Eric Roberts

Sports Journalist

Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.