Getafe has been a staple of one’s Spanish Primera Division betting previews for much of the season and one sees no reason to abandon the Deep Blues in their 29th match.
Unbeaten in its last seven Spanish Primera Division games, Getafe resumes its league campaign with a home match versus a Leganes team that lost two championship contests on the spin before the recent break. Getafe is fourth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and in pole position to collect Spain’s fourth UEFA Champions League berth but the bookmaking fraternity continues to underestimate the Deep Blues, even when they host a lowly ranked side like Leganes, which is 14th and nearer the drop zone than the top six.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Getafe enjoys a 12-2-5 advantage over Leganes, including progressive counts of 4-0-2 and 10-0-3. While Getafe has flopped in each of its four Spanish Primera Division games against the league’s big three of Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, the Deep Blues have lost only twice to teams below them on the ladder and they led Leganes for 25 minutes of their 1-1 draw in December’s reverse championship fixture. Leganes has been extremely good in its 14 Spanish Primera Division home matches but the Cucumber Growers have yet to beat a side ranked higher than 16th on the road and one does not expect that to change.
TOP TIP! – Getafe to beat Leganes @ 19/201.95-1050.95-1.050.95 with Bet365
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TOP TIP! – Alaves and Atletico Madrid to draw @ 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40
It is a tough Spanish Primera Division program on which to find good bets but one likes the value available about the game between Alaves and Atletico Madrid ending all square at 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40 with Betway.
Atletico Madrid has won each of its last three matches versus Alaves across all competitions, including December’s Spanish Primera Division clash in the capital that ended 3-0 in favour of the Mattressmen. But according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, which assesses how teams have fared in their games against the same teams, Atletico Madrid boasts a 7-10-2 lead. What that means is Alaves and Atletico Madrid have matched each other’s efforts versus 10 of the Spanish Primera Division’s other 18 sides, which is a strong indicator they are similarly skilled. With Alaves enjoying home advantage and the Babazorros unbeaten in their last six Spanish Primera Division games, one thinks they can hold their own against Atletico Madrid, which has won only one of its half a dozen league away matches versus teams ranked higher than 10th. And it is well known Atletico Madrid struggles to score more than one goal on the road.
Both Alaves and Atletico Madrid will have to play without one suspended player – Guillermo Maripan is banned for the former and Rodrigo is unavailable for the latter.
Sevilla v Valencia – 31st March – 15:15 BST
TOP TIP! – Sevilla to beat Valencia @ 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40 with BetVictor
Rounding out one’s Spanish Primera Division portfolio of wagers is Sevilla to become only the fifth side to defeat Valencia in the league this term at 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40 with BetVictor. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form figures, Sevilla boasts an 11-2-6 edge over Valencia and one suspects bookmakers are offering good odds about the White and Reds beating the Bats because they respect the latter’s tiny tally of four losses.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Real Madrid 15-1-3
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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