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Get stuck Inter both teams to score at the San Siro
Eric Roberts 2014-01-23 in Football Tips
Catania is Italian Serie A’s most despised Round 21 outsider but there are grounds for backing both teams to score when the cellar dweller plays Internazionale at the San Siro.
Internazionale is the hottest favourite on the Italian Serie A coupon and, given that Catania’s away league record reads ten losses from ten matches, one would think that bookmakers are quite correct to quote short odds about the Nerazzurri.
However, Internazionale has won only five of its ten Italian Serie A home games, the Nerazzurri have not kept very many clean sheets this season – three at home and three on the road in their total of 20 league matches and Catania does like to have a crack even though it is not all that good.
Catania has scored at least one goal in more than half of its ten Italian Serie A away games so, while it has gone 16 road matches across all competitions dating back to almost this time last year without a win, it does not go down without a fight, often registering a consolation goal.
With only one victory on its last seven games across all competitions, Internazionale is not in the greatest form and, while the Nerazzurri will surely have sufficient skill to extend Catania’s wait for another away day to remember for the right reasons, they may not keep a clean sheet.
Several bookmakers, including Betfred are offering odds of 2.00 that both Internazionale and Catania find the back of the net in Milan. That is the premier punt on the weekend Italian Serie A program.
If one wants to back an Italian Serie A shortie then duck Internazionale and side with Fiorentina, which is trading at odds of 1.40 with Ladbrokes to defeat Genoa. Fiorentina is on a roll – only Juventus has collected more points over the last six rounds than the Viola – and each of its last six home matches across all competitions have resulted in wins.
Genoa has found itself on the wrong end of the scoreline in each of its last three Italian Serie A road games and, also, one should note that its heaviest home loss came against Fiorentina in September 2013 when the Viola won 5-2. Do not fall into the trap of thinking that Genoa lost because it had ten men: Mario Sampirisi did not see red until injury time in the second half and, furthermore, Fiorentina was leading 3-0 not long before the half-time interval.
Finally, Livorno simply has to win its Italian Serie A match versus fellow struggler Sassuolo if it is going to have any chance of retaining its top-flight membership card. Livorno is four points adrift of safety and, if it lost to Sassuolo, one would have to think that it would be as good as Italian Serie B bound after just one campaign back among the elite.
Livorno won last term’s corresponding Italian Serie B game 3-2 having allowed Sassuolo race into an early 0-2 lead and, more importantly, the reverse Italian Serie A fixture in September 2013 was very one sided in favour of that day’s visiting team, Livorno. Leandro Greco opened the scoring for Livorno one minute before half time and, although Simone Zaza equalised for Sassuolo midway through the second period, Livorno scored three goals in the final quarter of the match to post a hugely impressive 4-1 away victory.
BetVictor is offering odds of 2.45 that Livorno completes the Italian Serie A double over Sassuolo. It is precisely the type of game in which home advantage tends to count, plus Sassuolo has not scored an away goal across all competitions in more than 340 minutes of play.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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