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Get Gunning For Bookies Underrating Arsenal

February 10, 2014

GiroudArsenal is grossly overpriced to record its first victory over Manchester United since the tail end of the 2010-2011 English Premier League season and it is the best midweek football bet at incredible odds of 2.20 with Stan James.

Most bookmakers, particularly Stan James, are betting on the high-profile English Premier League match as though Arsenal and Manchester United are equals when the truth is a million miles away from that. Even allowing for its 1-5 thrashing at Liverpool on Saturday, Arsenal is several levels superior to a Manchester United side that could not beat Fulham at home on Sunday. The ladder does not lie following 25 rounds.

Arsenal is one of four genuine English Premier League title contenders, positioned second on 55 points and with a home record of nine wins, two draws and one loss. Arsenal has kept clean sheets in eight of its 12 home games, including in each of its last four Emirates Stadium assignments. In the last eight top-flight matches played at the Highbury replacement, Everton forward Gerard Deulofeu has been the only non-Arsenal player to celebrate scoring a goal.

Manchester United’s first term under David Moyes hit a new low on Sunday when the Red Devils failed to follow in the footsteps of Sheffield United, Southampton and Swansea, finding it too hard to defeat Fulham. Steve Sidwell put Fulham ahead in the 19th minute and it took nearly an hour for Manchester United to level the ledger. Manchester United scored two goals in three minutes to edge ahead only for Darren Bent to equalise four minutes into stoppage time.

Backing Arsenal to beat Manchester United is a value play of the highest order. Bookmakers have framed their market as if Manchester United is challenging for the English Premier League championship when the reality is that the Red Devils will do remarkably well to finish in the top four, let alone push for top spot. Neither Everton nor Tottenham would be as short as Manchester United if it were playing Arsenal this week. Indeed, Arsenal would be odds on – and rightly so – to beat either Everton or Tottenham. So get stuck into the odds of 2.20 available about Arsenal ending Manchester United’s run of four wins and one draw in the marquee fixture.

West Bromwich’s results have not improved since the Baggies sacked Steve Clarke and, eventually, hired Pepe Mel. West Bromwich was aggrieved not to beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in November – the Baggies complained about the performance of Aston Villa-supporting referee Andre Marriner – but that was a long time ago. West Bromwich has won only one of its subsequent 15 games across all competitions since it was unlucky at Stamford Bridge. Over the same period, Chelsea has played 19 matches, winning 14, drawing three and losing two. Chelsea has the scent of another English Premier League title in its nostrils and Blues boss Jose Mourinho is showing how terribly astute he is both on and off the field.

Chelsea is available at odds of 1.53 with Stan James to win its seventh English Premier League away game and consolidate its place at the top of the ladder.

Liverpool battered Arsenal at Anfield on Saturday, with the Reds leading 4-0 inside the first 20 minutes as the Gunners had no answer to their pressing tactics and attacking verve. Fulham at Craven Cottage is the next task for Liverpool and, although the Cottagers held Manchester United to a 2-2 draw on Sunday, they had their backs to the walls throughout.

Generally trading at odds of 1.44, Liverpool is seeking an English Premier League double over Fulham having romped to a 4-0 victory at Anfield in November. The reverse fixture was all over as a contest inside 36 minutes by which stage Liverpool was three goals in front. Fulham is heading out of the top flight, not least because it has registered just one defeat of a top-half team this season and that against Everton in the relatively unimportant English Capital One Cup.

About the author

Eric Roberts
Eric Roberts

Sports Journalist

Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.