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Germans and Dutch to Share the Spoils in a Low-Scoring Draw

October 12, 2018

Netherlands vs Germany

Netherlands v Germany

The 2018 World Cup was, for once, not centre-stage for the Dutch and German Galacticos – the Dutch not making it at all and the Germans exiting stage left at the group stages – but this doesn’t dilute the fact they remain giants of European football. Any fixture between the two conjures up images of the 1974 World Cup final and, further down the line, a spat (or maybe spit) between Rudi Voller and Frank Rijkaard.

But, while this weekend’s Nations League clash sees them both in a different place, it still has a gravitas that’s missing in just about every other game. Netherlands v Germany is rarely dull.

For the Germans, the ship was steadied to a degree during the last international break when they drew 0-0 with World Champions France and beat Peru 2-1, and in fairness they have avoided the mistake made by many of overhauling their whole structure – on and off the field – off the back of one poor tournament

The Netherlands also managed a win over Peru during the same international break but did come unstuck against the French in Paris. Yet there are tangible signs of improvement under Ronald Koeman, who has turned to youth to try and turn around his side’s ailing fortunes, and has called up four potential debutants for this fixture.

As mentioned above, Germany manager Joachim Löw has opted for a less radical approach and has kept faith with most of his experienced star, albeit for this one he is unavoidably without Antonio Rudiger, Kai Havertz, Ilkay Gundogan and Marco Reus. Back into his squad has come Juventus midfielder Emre Can.

Koeman’s squad has suffered less from late call-offs, with Brighton midfielder Davy Propper being his only late withdrawal.

These two old adversaries have met a total of 40 times, including three times at World Cups and five times at European Championships, with Germany winning 15 matches, 15 draws and the Dutch winning 10.

The bookies see the Germans edging it, despite it being in Amsterdam, but we have an inkling that Koeman’s new young side have enough to at least get a point. Even a 0-0 is tempting us (25/2) but we can see it being a low-scoring draw, so 1-1 (6/1  with 888sport) is our tip. Tied into this bet, we also fancy the Dutch to take a lead into half-time, so consider ‘Netherlands to be leading at half-time’ at 13/5  with 188bet.

You’ll find all our top tips at our recommended bookmakers below:


Tips Summary

Netherlands and Germany to draw 1-1
Saturday 13, October. 19:45GMT
Odds: 6/1

Netherlands to be winning at half-time
Saturday 13, October. 19:45 GMT
Odds: 13/5


Republic of Ireland v Denmark

This will bring back haunting memories for the Irish who were trounced by the Danes in the World Cup play-off, and even without the injured Christian Eriksen, it’s tough to see the home side having enough to overcome Aage Hareide’s Denmark.

The Danes, who beat Wales 2-0 in their opening Nations League game, are favourites to win this group and we expect them to consolidate their lead at the top in this one.

Ireland were beaten 4-1 in Wales last time out and are bottom of the group, and is why the Danes start favourites, albeit not massively. So, while there is value in going for the home win, we still strongly foresee an away victory; 2-0 (11/1  with 188bet) having a certain appeal.

Also, we fancy Martin Braithwaite as first goalscorer (13/2  with 888sport) given his good form in the Championship.

Tips Summary 

Denmark to win 2-0
Saturday 13, October. 19:45GMT
Odds: 11/1

Martin Braithwaite as first goalscorer
Saturday 13, October. 19:45 GMT
Odds: 13/2

  • Denmark
  • Germany
  • ireland
  • Netherlands
  • UEFA Nations League

    About the author

    Carl Wright
    Carl Wright

    Sports Writer

    Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.