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Gentlemen, Verona is the play to concede most goals

August 27, 2014

Having tipped the favourites for the Italian Serie A title and relegation races, one went in search of a long-priced betting option for punters seeking a long-term interest in the prestigious football competition that starts this week.

Sister bookmakers 888sport and Unibet are offering odds on which of the 20 Italian Serie A sides concedes the highest number of goals throughout the 38-round tournament.

Since Italian Serie B introduced play-offs to determine its final promotion spot there have been six Italian Serie A seasons and the team that has conceded the highest number of goals has never finished higher than 17th on the ladder. So, naturally, one should be trawling through the relegation contenders for a bet in this term’s exotic market.

Cesena, therefore, is an obvious side with which to start but it conceded just 35 goals in its 42 games during the last Italian Serie B regular season. One fancies Cesena to be relegated from Italian Serie A but one is not convinced that it represents value in the most-goals-conceded market at odds of 4.00Bet €100 to win €4003/1Bet £100 to win £400+300Bet $100 to win $4003.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$4003.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp400-0.3333Bet RM100 to win RM400 with 888sport and Unibet. One believes that there is much better value on offer to speculative punters.

Available at odds of 40.00Bet €100 to win €400039/1Bet £100 to win £4000+3900Bet $100 to win $400039.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$400039.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp4000-0.0256Bet RM100 to win RM4000 with 888sport and Unibet, Verona is the overpriced side to be Italian Serie A’s most porous team. Why? Well, Verona may have finished last term in 10th place but it was indebted to its early results – perhaps when some of its opponents did paid insufficient respect to the promoted side – for ending up away from the drop zone and it was horribly reliant on veteran striker Luca Toni.

Verona made an excellent start to life back among Italy’s big boys, beating Milan thanks to a Toni brace, one of its seven victories in the first 11 round of Italian Serie A matches. Verona’s home form was outstanding until it lost 0-1 to city rival Chievo, although it did bounce back to make it eight wins from its opening nine home matches. But Verona’s home numbers after the winter break were terrible, totalling two wins, three draws and five losses. It would be fair to say that Verona’s pre-Christmas home schedule was soft and that it was flattered by its early results.

One expects Verona to slide down the Italian Serie A ladder this season. Verona conceded 68 Italian Serie A goals last term – only 17th-placed Sassuolo and bottom-of-the-table Livorno leaked more goals – and that was in spite of Andrea Mandorlini’s winning 16 games. Verona kept just seven clean sheets – five at home and two on the road – and it copped several hidings towards the end of the season, including a 3-5 home loss to Fiorentina, a 1-5 away loss to Napoli and a 0-5 away loss to Sampdoria. As one wrote earlier this piece, it was a good job that Verona started off well, otherwise it would have been fighting for its Italian Serie A survival.

As last term’s Italian Serie A survivor that conceded the highest number of goals, Sassuolo will be a popular bet at odds of 5.50Bet €100 to win €5509/2Bet £100 to win £550+450Bet $100 to win $5504.50Bet HK$100 to win HK$5504.50Bet Rp100 to win Rp550-0.2222Bet RM100 to win RM550 with 888sport and Unibet but it has made some signings that should improve its defence. In one’s opinion, Sassuolo is the right odds, whereas Verona is overpriced.

One would have been tempted to propose Cagliari because its manager, Zdenek Zeman, believes in trying to win matches 10-9 instead of 1-0 but 888sport and Unibet are aware of the Zeman factor and they are quoting his team at odds of 4.25Bet €100 to win €42513/4Bet £100 to win £425+325Bet $100 to win $4253.25Bet HK$100 to win HK$4253.25Bet Rp100 to win Rp425-0.3077Bet RM100 to win RM425.

Tips Summary

Verona to concede most Serie A goals
Starts 30th August
Odds: 40.00Bet €100 to win €400039/1Bet £100 to win £4000+3900Bet $100 to win $400039.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$400039.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp4000-0.0256Bet RM100 to win RM4000
Where to Bet: 888sport, Unibet

  • 888Sport
  • Cesena
  • Serie A
  • Tips
  • Unibet
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    About the author

    Eric Roberts
    Eric Roberts

    Sports Journalist

    Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.