Gareth to bale out Real Madrid in his home city

Bale
Real Madrid
and Sevilla played their respective parts in a couple of goal-laden games last season and one thinks that there is no reason for their UEFA Super Cup clash at the Cardiff City Stadium in Wales to buck last term’s trend.

Last season’s first Spanish Primera Division match between Real Madrid and Sevilla was one that will live long in the memory of anyone who saw it. Real Madrid raced to a 3-0 lead inside the first 32 minutes but it was 3-2 to the home team at half time after Sevilla launched a fightback. The game finished 7-3 to Real Madrid, with Gareth Bale and Karim Benzema bagging braces but being outdone by Cristiano Ronaldo’s hat-trick. Sevilla midfielder Stephane Mbia received a red card 14 minutes before full time.

The reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture between Real Madrid and Sevilla was a ripper as well. Ronaldo put Real Madrid in the driving seat but Carlos Bacca equalised for Sevilla five minutes later and he popped up again in the 72nd minute to put a massive dent in the championship challenge of the away side. Like so many Real Madrid matches, it looked nailed on to go over two and a half goals. The surprise was that it took so long to do so.

The UEFA Super Cup is a glorified friendly so one expects that Real Madrid and Sevilla will play relatively open brands of football. Other factors to consider are Real Madrid superstar Bale’s homecoming and the historical records of the participants in this tournament.

It is no exaggeration to say that Bale will be the most motivated player in the UEFA Super Cup game. Bale has said that playing for the UEFA Champions League winner in the city of his birth is a dream come true and, unlike so many of his Real Madrid colleagues, he does not need to take it easy because Wales did not qualify for the FIFA World Cup.

The motivations of Real Madrid and its manager, Carlo Ancelotti, are worth considering as well. Real Madrid’s reason for existing is to win trophies and one thinks that missing out on the UEFA Super Cup, particularly to another Spanish team, would not go down well. Real Madrid won the last UEFA Super Cup game in which it featured, defeating Feyenoord 3-1 in 2002. Ancelotti has won all four of the UEFA Super Cup matches in which he has either played or coached – he was a Milan player in 1989 and 1990 and he was the boss of Juventus in 2003 and 2007. And one cannot see Sevilla, which upset Barcelona 3-0 in the 2006 UEFA Super Cup, doing anything other than taking the match seriously.

Bale is available at odds of +140  with Spreadex to score a goal in UEFA Super Cup normal time, odds that seem somewhat generous given his goal-scoring form during Real Madrid’s pre-season campaign and his desire to play well in Wales.

Less attractive, sadly, are the odds of -200  with BetVictor and Sky Bet, that the UEFA Super Cup game goes over two and a half goals in normal time. Perhaps a better play is both sides to score, which is trading at odds of -143  with Boylesports.

For punters who want to bet on the UEFA Super Cup result, one should know that the UEFA Champions League winner has taken out the match in normal time only once in the last half a dozen editions and that, over the last 10 years, there has been nothing to choose between the teams representing the two major UEFA club competitions.

Tips Summary

Bale to score in Super Cup (BTTS)
12th August 19.45 GMT
Odds:  +140 ( -143 )
Where to Bet: Spreadex, Boylesports

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