Form lines point to a round of home bankers

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Short-priced home bankers should be the order of the round in the Spanish Primera Division given the results of the matches when the reverse fixtures took place in September.

Only one Spanish Primera Division home team accrued three points from its Round Four assignment – Villarreal, which fought back from 0-2 down after 29 minutes to defeat Rayo Vallecano 4-2 at El Madrigal – with no fewer than seven of the 10 hosts having nothing to show for their efforts.

Poor old Deportivo has suffered one Spanish Primera Division hiding at the feet of Real Madrid – 2-8 in A Coruna five months ago – and the rematch could not have come at a worse time for Victor Fernandez’s side. Real Madrid will run out to play Deportivo at the Santiago Bernabeu smarting from its humiliating 0-4 Spanish Primera Division loss at Atletico Madrid and Cristiano Ronaldo is free to face Depor after serving his three-game league ban. Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match could get uglier than former Real Madrid midfielder Mesut Osil – sorry, Mesut – if Deportivo does not occupy the home team’s defence and allows the Meringues to press forward without a care in the world.

Accumulator punters can include Real Madrid at odds of -1000  with Ladbrokes to beat Deportivo in their Spanish Primera Division clash, while singles punters can back the Meringues at odds of -133  with the same bookmaker to cover a two-goal spread. Real Madrid has won eight of its 10 Spanish Primera Division home games by two or more goals, while Deportivo’s two top-flight away matches at top-seven sides – Atletico Madrid and Sevilla – have both resulted in heavy defeats.

There is nothing in the Spanish Primera Division form book to suggest anything other than a comprehensive Barcelona win when it hosts Levante on Sunday but one does not need to be a rocket scientist to work out that given that Barca are trading at even shorter odds than Real Madrid. Barcelona thrashed Levante 5-0 in the reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture, although one should note that the score was 1-0 to Barca in the 41st minute when their opponent had a man sent off. Both of the Spanish Primera Division mega shorties are bankers but one rates Real Madrid as the better value.

Of the Spanish Primera Division favourites at odds that are of interest to most punters, the clear pick is Valencia at -227  with several bookmakers, including BoylesportsBwin and WilliamHill, to complete a league double over Getafe. Sevilla is available at similar odds to beat Cordoba but that is a Spanish Primera Division derby and, given the choice, one would prefer to back Valencia versus Getafe.

Home is where Valencia’s heart is as just Barcelona has got the better of Nuno’s team at the Mestalla in any competitive game since May. Getafe, which lost 0-3 at home to Valencia in the first half of the Spanish Primera Division season, has a 2-2-6 league away record, failing to pick up a point from any road match against a side ranked higher than 11th.

With regards to Spanish Primera Division exotics, the bet that makes the most appeal is Getafe to have more corner kicks than Valencia. Only Cordoba and Eibar have a worse Spanish Primera Division corner-kick ratio than Valencia, which is averaging 4.00 corner kicks for and 5.86 corner kicks against. Getafe has a mid-range Spanish Primera Division corner-kick ratio, averaging 4.64 corner kicks for and 4.59 corner kicks against. One guarantees that Getafe will trade as the outsider on this market once bookmakers post their Spanish Primera Division exotic odds.

Tips Summary

Real Madrid -2 v Deportivo
14th February 17:00 GMT
Odds:  -133
Where to Bet: Ladbrokes

Valencia to beat Getafe
15th February 11:00 GMT
Odds:  -227
Where to Bet: BoylesportsBwin, WilliamHill

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