Italian Serie A betting becomes a tricky proposition towards the end of seasons so one does not apologises for playing it relatively safe in the 33rd round of championship matches.
Neither Chievo nor Torino will line up on Sunday under any pressure – the Flying Donkeys are 17 points clear of the relegation zone and the Bulls are almost as far away from Italian Serie A’s UEFA Europa League positions – so there is no excuse for safety-first football when they meet this weekend.
Both sides have scored in nine of Chievo’s 16 Italian Serie A home games, including six of its nine matches versus teams above it on the ladder. Both sides have scored in 11 of Torino’s 16 Italian Serie A away games. Furthermore, both teams have scored in 19 of 10th-placed Torino’s 20 Italian Serie A matches anywhere against sides ranked in the top 13, which brings in 13th-placed Chievo. And November’s reverse fixture resulted in a 2-1 home victory for Torino.
Torino coach Sinisa Mihajlovic says that he wants Manchester City loanee Joe Hart to stay with the Bulls next season but one would think that the England custodian would want to cut ties with a defence that does not afford him much protection – it is not Hart’s fault that he has kept five clean sheets in his 30 Italian Serie A appearances for his renter. With odds of -189 about both teams scoring, it rates as the best bet on the division coupon.
Both teams have scored in each of Sassuolo’s last four Italian Serie A matches and, with Black and Greens star Domenico Berardi back from suspension to lead their attack and the hosts welcoming a high-scoring Napoli side, the portents are good for one’s second suggested wager.
Napoli’s 75 goals in its 32 Italian Serie A games is the highest average in the competition and the Partenopei have hit the back of the net in all bar three of those matches. Napoli’s defence is not watertight, though, which explains how both teams have scored in 20 of its 32 matches, one of which was the Partenopei’s 1-1 home draw with Sassuolo.
Milan is chasing UEFA Europa League qualification and one thinks that it will post an Italian Serie A home victory over relegation candidate Empoli on Sunday, a favourite option that is trading at odds of -270 with 188Bet.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Milan holds a 13-3-3 advantage over Empoli and one should note that includes a thumping 4-1 away triumph for the Red and Blacks in November’s one-sided reverse fixture. Milan has lost just one of its last 10 Italian Serie A games and that was a 1-2 loss at champion-elect Juventus in which the Red and Blacks were level until Jose Sosa was sent off and Paulo Dybala netted Juve’s winning from the penalty mark. Empoli’s 2-1 Italian Serie A success at Fiorentina last weekend was its first in 11 league matches and, while it burned a hole in one’s pocket, it was a derby game and, therefore, the form may not hold up outside Tuscany.
Chievo v Torino – Both teams to score
Sunday 23rd April, 14:00 GMT
Sassuolo v Napoli – Both teams to score
Sunday 23rd April, 11:30 GMT
AC Milan to beat Empoli
Sunday 23rd April, 14:00 GMT