Liverpool versus Arsenal is the marquee match in the third round of the English Premier League and it also happens to throw up the most attractive betting proposition.
That Liverpool’s English Premier League title credentials are in question has nothing to do with the performance of its attack and everything to do with its defence struggling to keep clean sheets. Liverpool has played four competitive games across the English Premier League and the UEFA Champions League, conceding six goals and shutting out only Crystal Palace and that was at Anfield against a team reeling from a first-up 0-3 home loss to Huddersfield.
Arsenal is similar to Liverpool but, perhaps, not quite as good as the Reds. Arsenal’s English Premier League campaign began with a 4-3 home victory over Leicester and the Gunners then lost 0-1 at a Stoke side that is likely to finish much closer to the foot of the ladder than its top. So Arsenal’s English Premier League clean sheet count is yet to begin and the Gunners are just a couple of disappointing results from having their supporter base call for Arsene Wenger’s head.
Over two and a half goals in Sunday’s English Premier League match between Liverpool and Arsenal is available at odds of -149 with Betfair. Seven of the last eight games between Liverpool and Arsenal across all competitions have gone over two and a half goals, including all three meetings when Jurgen Klopp and Wenger have gone head to head tactically – those matches have finished 3-3 at Anfield, 3-4 at the Emirates Stadium and 3-1 at Anfield.
If there is a good chance of the English Premier League game between Liverpool and Arsenal being fun to watch, there is an equally good chance of Sunday’s old Staffordshire derby between West Bromwich and Stoke being a crushing bore.
There was been one goal in each of the first four English Premier League matches featuring either West Bromwich and Stoke and four of the five meetings of the teams since Tony Pulis became Baggies boss have gone under two and a half goals. Bwin and SunBets are quoting odds of -189 about another clash between West Bromwich and Stoke falling short of three goals and that is a sound wager.
Bournemouth is yet to open its English Premier League goal account as a result of losses to nil versus West Bromwich and Watford, hardly two of the division’s heavyweights. English Premier League championship favourite Manchester City is next up for Bournemouth and, if the Cherries could not go goal for goal against the Baggies and the Hornets, they are likely to really struggle versus a Citizens side that Pep Guardiola has developed to score heavily.
Manchester City has been one of Bournemouth’s bogey teams since the Cherries gained admission to the English Premier League two years ago. The four English Premier League games between Bournemouth and Manchester City since late 2015 have resulted in four comfortable wins for the Citizens – 4-0 and 5-1 at home and 2-0 and 4-0 on the road. Manchester City landed the half-time/full-time double result in each of those four English Premier League matches so one’s final selection is the Citizens/Citizens at odds of -105 with Coral and Ladbrokes. Bournemouth against Manchester City will kick off the English Premier League round on Saturday.
Liverpool v Arsenal – Over 2.5 goals
Sunday 27th August, 16:00 GMT
West Brom v Stoke – Under 2.5 goals
Sunday 27th August, 13:30 GMT
Man City HT/FT double result
Saturday 26th August, 12:30 GMT