Final game of round to be short of goals

Athletic Bilbao LevanteThere is a saying that good things come to those who wait and it is true in the 32nd round of the Spanish Primera Division because the best bet is in its last match.

Levante versus Bilbao is the Spanish Primera Division game in question and, based on numerous statistics, the suggested wager is one on the match going under two and a half goals at odds of 1.73 with BetVictor and Stan James.

It is a miracle that Levante is 10th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder given that it is averaging fewer than one goal per game. That Levante occupies one of the top-half positions is because its defensive numbers are the seventh best in the Spanish Primera Division. Consequently, Levante matches are the equal least entertaining games to watch if one likes seeing lots of goals, with its 31 matches in the Spanish Primera Division producing a total of 67 goals at an average of 2.16. Nineteen of Levante’s 31 Spanish Primera Division games have gone under two and a half goals.

Bilbao is fourth behind Atletico Madrid, Barcelona and Real Madrid on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but it does not have the skew towards over two and a half goals that Atletico, Barca and Real do. Indeed, 16 of Bilbao’s 31 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals, including 10 of its 15 games on the road.

Real Madrid thrashed Sociedad 5-1 in round 13 of the Spanish Primera Division and one thinks that there will be plenty of Real fans for the return fixture in San Sebastian. However, one thinks that the smartest bet on the Anoeta match is a punt on both teams to score at odds of 1.55 with Youwin.

With seven Spanish Primera Division rounds to go and two sides ahead of it on the ladder there is only one way for Real Madrid to approach its remaining games and that is to play to win at all costs. If Real Madrid is to take out its 33rd Spanish Primera Division title it will probably have to take 21 points from its remaining seven matches so it must throw caution to the wind, particularly as everyone knows that its defence is easily the weakest part of its side.

Sociedad is level on 50 Spanish Primera Division points with Sevilla, the team that beat Real Madrid in its most recent away game. Real Madrid has kept six road clean sheets this season but they have come against sides towards the bottom of the Spanish Primera Division ladder. The highest ranked Spanish Primera Division team that failed to score at home to Real Madrid was Espanyol, which is in eighth spot. And Real Madrid has scored in all of its 16 Spanish Primera Division away matches so the suggested bet has legs.

Finally, the lowly positions of Elche and Granada on the Spanish Primera Division goals-per-game chart means that having a bet on their match going under two and a half goals at odds of 1.57 with BetVictor is hard to pass over.

Elche and Granada played out a 1-1 draw when they met in November. Seventeen of Elche’s 31 Spanish Primera Division games have gone under two and a half goals, contributing in no small way to Elche being tied with Levante on an average of 2.16 goals per match. Twenty of Getafe’s 31 Spanish Primera Division games have gone under two and a half goals, with its mean being 2.48 only because it has featured in a few high-scoring encounters, generally as the losing side.

Elche’s home numbers are particularly compelling – 13 of its 16 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals – and 10 of Getafe’s 15 Spanish Primera Division away games have gone under the common line.

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