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Everything Falling into Place on Getafe’s Top-Four Quest

May 2, 2019

Getafe C.F.

Getafe v Girona – 5th May – 11:00 BST

Twice Getafe has graced the UEFA Europa League/UEFA Cup but the Deep Blues are eyeing off competing in next term’s UEFA Champions League as Spain’s fourth representative alongside mighty trio Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Getafe is fourth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder, level with Sevilla on 55 points but ranked above the White and Reds by virtue of their superior head-to-head record across their two league clashes. Getafe’s destiny is in its own hands and, with Barcelona having wrapped up the Spanish Primera Division title, the Deep Blues will visit Camp Nou next weekend to face a Barca team that may be distracted.

Before Getafe’s Spanish Primera Division date with Barcelona the Deep Blues will line up against Girona on Sunday. Girona is two points above 18th-ranked Valladolid and the Spanish Primera Division relegation zone and one of six sides in danger of dropping out of the top flight. Girona has lost six Spanish Primera Division matches in a row before its upset 1-0 home victory over Sevilla last time out, the same Sevilla team that Getafe beat 3-0 just two rounds earlier.

Bookmakers have been underestimating Getafe throughout the Spanish Primera Division campaign and they are at it again this weekend. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Getafe holds an 11-2-6 lead over Girona, including progressive counts of 7-2-3, 8-2-4 and 10-2-5. December’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 1-1 but Getafe led that encounter for 24 second-half minutes and the direct head to head favours the Deep Blues.

TOP TIP! – Getafe to beat Girona @ 1.80  with Bet365

Get the best odds in La Liga with our selected bookmakers below.

 

Real Madrid

Real Madrid v Villarreal – 5th May – 15:15 BST

TOP TIP! – Real Madrid to beat Villarreal @ 1.70

Real Madrid is coming off one of its worst results this season – a 0-1 Spanish Primera Division loss at relegation candidate and neighbour Vallecano – and the Meringues are almost guaranteed to finish third on the league ladder but one is backing Zinedine Zidane’s men to bounce back to winning ways when they host a resurgent Villarreal side at 1.70  with Betway.

Villarreal is not 100 per cent safe from Spanish Primera Division relegation but it would take a series of crazy results for the Yellow Submarine to sink into the second level after their recent run of three wins and one draw. Basically, one thinks Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division game is not far off a dead rubber and that bookmakers are listing generous odds about Real Madrid registering a home success. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Real Madrid enjoys a 12-1-6 edge over Villarreal, including progressive counts of 3-0-1, 6-1-2, 7-1-3, 8-1-4 and 11-1-5. Real Madrid should be trading at shorter odds than it is because bookmakers have got it into their heads Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match means more to Villarreal than the Meringues and one begs to differ.

Levante

Levante v Vallecano – 4th May – 12:00 BST

TOP TIP! – Levante and Vallecano to draw @ 4.00

Barcelona boasts an eye-catching 18-1-0 Spanish Primera Division collateral form advantage over Celta but everyone expects Barca to field a second-string team versus the Sky Blues because they have won the league title and they have UEFA Champions League business at Liverpool next week. So one’s third Spanish Primera Division selection is Levante and Vallecano to draw in their crunch clash on Saturday at 4.00  with BetVictor.

Vallecano will be pushing for all three Spanish Primera Division points but Rayo have a terrible road record and Levante has won just one of its last 11 league games. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Levante trails Vallecano 7-4-8 overall but it does hold a progressive count lead of 6-4-4. There is not much to choose between Levante and Vallecano, hence one’s draw pick.

COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES

Sevilla 9-3-7

Levante 7-4-8

Espanyol 2-5-12

Alaves 9-2-8

Celta 0-1-18

Getafe 11-2-6

Eibar 9-2-8

Real Madrid 12-1-6

Valladolid 6-1-12

Huesca 3-2-14

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  • Getafe
  • Girona
  • Levante
  • Real Madrid
  • Spanish Primera Division
  • Vallecano
  • Villarreal

    About the author

    Carl Wright
    Carl Wright

    Sports Writer

    Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.