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Drawn to Share of the Spoils Between Out-Of-Form Strugglers
Eric Roberts 2016-04-27 in Football Tips
Sunday’s match between Deportivo and Getafe is the most even of the Spanish Primera Division round so, on a weekend when it is difficult to nominate a bet that stands out, one is going to pick the draw.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Deportivo enjoys a 8-6-5 lead over Getafe. Six ties is a large number – the next higher tally in one’s latest set of Spanish Primera Division collateral form results is four – and it indicates that there is not an enormous amount between Deportivo and Getafe in spite of seven rungs and seven points separating them on the ladder.
Deportivo has won only one of its last 21 games across all competitions and that was a 2-1 home victory over Spanish Primera Division cellar dweller Levante in which the Frogs scored Super Depor’s winning goal for them five minutes from time. One win in 21 matches is not the form for which one looks in a home favourite even if its guest boasts the Spanish Primera Division’s second worst away record.
Getafe ended its run of seven consecutive Spanish Primera Division road losses when it shocked Sociedad 2-1 in San Sebastian. But clearly Getafe is not one of the Spanish Primera Division sides that demands support, especially away from home where it has not beaten what one could call a decent team since upsetting Valencia in March 2014.
The draw is the outsider of the three possible results at 13/53.60+2602.602.60-0.38 with BetVictor in the Spanish Primera Division game between Deportivo and Getafe, neither side warrants backing and one point would probably rate as a handy point for both Super Depor and the Deep Blues. Getafe has a slightly easier run home than most of its Spanish Primera Division relegation rivals, including a home date with one of the two teams below it, Gijon, so a draw at Deportivo may not be the end of the world for it.
Yet again there is no reason to think that any of the three Spanish Primera Division title contenders – Atletico Madrid, Barcelona and Real Madrid – will drop points but successful long-term punting relies upon striking bets at value prices.
One thinks that a speculative punt on Atletico Madrid to beat Vallecano but not to keep a clean sheet in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match is worthwhile at odds of 12/53.40+2402.402.40-0.42 with several bookmakers, including 888Sport.
Atletico Madrid’s Spanish Primera Division home game versus Vallecano is sandwiched between the former’s UEFA Champions League semi-final matches against Bayern Munchen so Diego Simeone’s side may not be at its best in its domestic assignment even though the championship is up for grabs. Atletico has kept 22 clean sheets in its 35 Spanish Primera Division games, winning 20 matches to nil and those numbers are front and centre with bookmakers. But Vallecano has hit the back of the net in 14 of its 17 Spanish Primera Division road games, scoring away to Barcelona, Real Madrid and Villarreal despite being on the wrong end of the results.
Barcelona is on a mission to take out the Spanish Primera Division title and it knows that victories over Betis (away), Espanyol (home) and Granada (away) in its three remaining matches will shut out Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid. Barcelona is long odds on to get the better of Betis in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division game and it is a short price to be in front at both breaks. An angle that may be worth exploring is Barcelona to lead Betis either 1-0 or 2-0 at half time, with Coral offering odds of 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 about 1-0 to Barca and odds of 19/54.80+3803.803.80-0.26 about 2-0 to Barca – dutching those odds generates a half-time correct-score bet at 11/102.10+1101.101.10-0.91 .
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for each of Round 36’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Gijon 7-1-11* versus Eibar
Sociedad 2-2-15* versus Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid 17*-0-2 versus Vallecano
Betis 1-1-17* versus Barcelona
Granada 9-0-10* versus Las Palmas
Athletic 10*-3-6 versus Celta
Espanyol 2-4-13* versus Sevilla
Deportivo 8*-6-5 versus Getafe
Valencia 6-4-9* versus Villarreal
Malaga 13*-3-3 versus Levante
Deportivo and Getafe to Draw
Sunday 1st may, 17:15 GMT
Atletico Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score
Saturday 30th May, 17:15 GMT
Dutch Barcelona 1-0 and 2-0 Half Time Results
Saturday 30th May, 19:30 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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