The biggest derby in the seventh round of the Italian Serie A is the match that throws up the best betting opportunity and it is Chievo to beat its injury-hit city rival, Verona.
Chievo is seventh on the Italian Serie A ladder after six matches and the quality of its performances mean that it deserves to be just four points adrift of table-topping Fiorentina. Chievo has lost only one of its Italian Serie A games and the Flying Donkeys were pretty unlucky not to take at least one point from that match, which resulted in a 0-1 home loss to Internazionale. Chievo’s other Italian Serie A home games have ended in wins to nil over Lazio and Torino.
One is willing not to condemn Verona for its slow start to its Italian Serie A campaign because the Boys have had more than their fair share of injuries. The signs are that Verona will be without four forwards – Juanito Gomez, Giampaolo Pazzini, Luca Siligardi and last season’s Italian Serie A top goal scorer, Luca Toni – for its road grudge match on Saturday, which would probably force Boys manager Andrea Mandorlini to use Bosko Jankovic out of position up front.
William Hill are offering odds of 11/102.10+1101.101.10-0.91 about Chievo posting its first home derby win over Verona since 2002 – the Flying Donkeys are not going to get a better chance to do it.
Styles make fights and that is why one is keen on Napoli in its Italian Serie A game at a Milan side that seems to be heading in the wrong direction under Sinisa Mihajlovic.
Milan has not looked like keeping an Italian Serie A clean sheet and, while the Red and Blacks have won five straight San Siro matches across all competitions spanning a couple of seasons, they have not encountered a side with Napoli’s attacking weapons. Milan will feel obligated to make the running in Sunday’s Italian Serie A game and that should enable Napoli to create ample opportunities on the break.
Napoli is not the most consistent of teams and it is backing up from beating UEFA Europa League Group D opponent Legia Warszawa 2-0 in Poland on Thursday. But one thinks that bookmakers are overrating Milan and that Napoli, if it performs to the best of its ability, could challenge for the Italian Serie A title in what is shaping as an open term.
Marathonbet is offering odds of 42/252.68+1681.681.68-0.60 about Napoli winning the final match of the Italian Serie A round. Napoli should be a warmer favourite than that against a Milan side that did the unthinkable and brought Mario Balotelli back into its fold.
Finally, keep an eye out for corner-kicks markets pertaining to the Italian Serie A game between Palmero and Roma on Sunday because one likes the chance of the latter having more of those set pieces than the former. The match pits Italian Serie A’s corner-kick kings versus its paupers.
Roma has taken 57 corner kicks in its six Italian Serie A games, which is 12 more than second-ranked Lazio and 43 more than bottom-of-the-ladder Palmero. The concession of corner kicks is another statistic that one must consider – Roma has defended 26, which is 10 fewer than Palermo. Roma was a long way from full strength in its UEFA Champions League Group E match at BATE on Tuesday but the Wolves won the corner-kick count 8-1 despite suffering a shock 2-3 loss in the game.
Chievo to beat Verona
3rd October 19:45 GMT
Napoli to beat Milan
4th October 19:45 GMT
Palmero and Roma – Roma Corner Kicks
4th October 14:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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