There is no shortage of attractive bets on the Italian Serie A midweek program and, at the odds, the pick of them is the underrated Chievo team to defeat Frosinone on Wednesday.
Eleven points from its last five Italian Serie A games have consolidated Chievo’s position on the top half of the ladder and fans of the Flying Donkeys are death riding their fierce rivals Verona into Italian Serie B as well. Chievo does not have anything for which to play other than pride but that has been the case for several rounds and it has not led to poor performances. Chievo’s opponent, Frosinone, is fighting for its Italian Serie A life but the Canaries have the worst away record in the division and their chance of remaining in the top flight probably boils down to their home results.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Chievo boasts a 13-1-5 advantage over Frosinone, including a 2-0 road win in December’s reverse fixture. Chievo is 11-4-4 in its 19 Italian Serie A matches against side below it on the ladder and there is no doubt in one’s mind that the Flying Donkeys deserve their position. Frosinone is 2-2-12 away from home in its maiden Italian Serie A campaign and the Canaries are 0-4-12 in its 16 divisional games versus teams above halfway on the ladder. Chievo has a couple of players suspended – Fabrizio Cacciatore and Riccardo Meggiorini – but neither is indispensable and Frosinone cannot field its strongest side due to minor injuries.
Marathonbet is quoting odds of -115 about Chievo extending its unbeaten Italian Serie A run with a home win over a Frosinone team that is the competition’s poorest traveller.
Juventus needs a maximum of seven points to take out the Italian Serie A title and the Old Lady are likely to earn three of them against eighth-ranked Lazio on Wednesday, an option that Marathonbet is offering at odds of -196 .
Lazio is two from two in Italian Serie A under new coach Simone Inzaghi but its victories have come at the expense of 12th-placed Empoli and 19th-ranked Palermo, the latter of which is sinking like a stone and looking beyond salvation.
Juventus is a different kettle of fish. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Juventus holds a 16-1-2 edge over Lazio, including a 2-0 away success in December’s reverse fixture. Juventus has recovered from its dreadful Italian Serie A start to dominate the division and the likelihood is that the Old Lady will clinch yet another championship with a couple of rounds to go. Lazio remains in the hunt for a UEFA Europa League berth but it is 0-0-5 in its five Italian Serie A matches versus the top three sides and most of its 13 divisional triumphs have come at home to teams below it on the ladder. Juventus is not that type of side and Lazio has to travel to Turin for its assignment.
Like Lazio, Milan has experienced an upturn in fortunes since it appointed a new manager but the Red and Blacks do not to tackle Juventus this. Next up for Milan is Carpi at home and odds of -200 with Marathonbet and William Hill appeal about Cristian Brocchi’s team doing the business.
Milan was underperforming under Sinisa Mihajlovic but, even so, the Red and Blacks enjoys a 13-2-4 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Carpi, including a 0-0 away draw in December’s reverse fixture. Carpi is one point outside the Italian Serie A relegation zone but it has failed to beat any of the top nine teams, eight of which it has entertained. Carpi is coming off a 4-1 Italian Serie A victory over Genoa but the winner benefitted greatly from the loser having Armando Izzo sent off in the 45th minute.
Finally, here are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 34’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Napoli 12-3-4* versus Bologna
Sassuolo 10*-2-7 versus Sampdoria
Chievo 13*-1-5 versus Frosinone
Empoli 13*-0-6 versus Verona
Genoa 8-0-11* versus Internazionale
Juventus 16*-1-2 versus Lazio
Palermo 6-1-12* versus Atalanta
Roma 13*-2-4 versus Torino
Udinese 4-3-12* versus Fiorentina
Milan 13*-2-4 versus Carpi
Chievo to beat Frosinone
Wednesday 20th April, 19:45 GMT
Juventus to beat Lazio
Wednesday 20th April, 19:45 GMT
AC Milan to beat Carpi
Thursday 21st April, 19:45 GMT