Milton Keynes is the English Football League’s most disliked team because of how it gained its place in the tournament and, therefore, some punters may take great joy in backing the Dons to lose at high-flying Bradford on Saturday.
The result of Wimbledon’s controversial relocation to the Buckinghamshire new town from south London in 2003, Milton Keynes is a side that most English football fans like to see fail and one thinks that the Dons are likely to take a fall versus a Bradford team that rates much better than them.
Eleven rounds into the English League One season and Milton Keynes is 10th on the ladder with a 5-2-4 record, 17 points and a goal difference of zero. Six points separate Milton Keynes and Bradford, with the Bantams third on the ladder having won seven, drawn two and lost two of their English League One games to sit just below Shrewsbury and Wigan.
One does not doubt that Milton Keynes will have the support of many punters for its English League One match against Bradford because the Dons are unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions and those numbers look quite good until you dig beneath the surface. As one has written more than once, ladders lie less than one-quarter of the way through tournaments and there is no doubt in one’s mind that the gap between Milton Keynes and Bradford will be wider by the time that the 46-round season is complete in May.
Why is one so adamant that Milton Keynes is vastly inferior to Bradford? Well, the answer lies in one’s English League One collateral form analysis. Milton Keynes and Bradford have faced six common opponents in the first 11 rounds – Peterborough, Blackburn, Blackpool, Oxford, Northampton and Gillingham – and comparing the results makes grim reading for Dons fans and pleasant reading for Bantams fans. Milton Keynes lost 0-2 at Peterborough, whereas Bradford won 3-1 at the Posh. Milton Keynes lost 1-4 at Blackburn, whereas Bradford lost 0-1 at home to Rovers. Milton Keynes lost 0-1 at Blackpool, whereas Bradford won 2-1 at home to the Tangerines. Milton Keynes drew 1-1 at home to Oxford, whereas Bradford drew 2-2 away to United. Milton Keynes drew 0-0 at home to Northampton, whereas Bradford won 1-0 at the Cobblers. And Milton Keynes won 1-0 at home to Gillingham, whereas Bradford won 1-0 away to the Gills. So, according to one’s English League One collateral form analysis, Milton Keynes trails Bradford 0-0-6 because the Dons have fared worse than the Bantams versus Peterborough, Blackburn, Blackpool, Oxford, Northampton and Gillingham.
Bradford is available at odds of +170 with William Hill to get the better of Milton Keynes at Stadium mk for the second English League One term in a row. Fourteen months ago was the last time that Bradford visited Milton Keynes and that match resulted in a 2-1 away victory for the Bantams over a Dons side that did not score its goal until the 90th minute.
For quite some time Milton Keynes has struggled to handle English League One promotion contenders, irrespective of venue. Bradford will be there or thereabouts at the end of the English League One regular season and the Bantams have become pretty good at putting the division’s lesser lights to the sword, both at their home base and on their travels. Milton Keynes is flattered by its current English League One ladder position because it has played each of the bottom five teams but the Dons have failed to accrue a single point from their four games against higher-ranked opponents.
Bradford to beat MK Dons
Saturday 7th October, 15:00 GMT