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Sevilla must beat Leganes on Saturday to stay in the Spanish Primera Division title race and one does not mind taking the short odds about the White and Reds completing a double over the wonderfully nicknamed Cucumber Growers from Madrid.
Sevilla is the Spanish Primera Division’s top home performer, averaging 2.58 points per game compared to Real Madrid’s 2.54 points per game. Sevilla is 10-1-1 in its 12 Spanish Primera Division home matches and the teams that have escaped the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan with points are first-ranked Barcelona and sixth-ranked Villarreal. Sevilla has yet to host any of the Spanish Primera Division’s bottom five teams, including 16th-ranked Leganes that is struggling to retain its place among the elite after gaining promotion last season.
Leganes owes its position above the Spanish Primera Division relegation line to its results versus the sides below it on the ladder. Leganes has won six Spanish Primera Division games and just one of its victories has come at the expense of a higher ranked team – the Cucumber Growers shocked Celta 1-0 in Vigo in the opening round of the championship.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Sevilla boasts a 14-3-2 edge over Leganes and the sides against which the Cucumber Growers have outperformed the White and Reds are relegation candidates Deportivo and Granada, the latter of which is one of Sevilla’s neighbours.
William Hill are listing Sevilla at odds of -227 and, with attractive Spanish Primera Division bets in short supply due to an unexciting 27th round of fixtures, the White and Reds get headline billing.
Another Spanish Primera Division favourite on which one is keen is Valencia, available at odds of -213 with 188Bet to register a home success over Gijon on Saturday.
Valencia has endured another disappointing Spanish Primera Division campaign by its standards but the Bats have pulled away from the relegation zone recently, including winning four of their last five home matches – their only failure was when they were reduced to 10 men before half time versus Eibar and capitulated to a 0-4 loss. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Valencia holds just a 10-3-6 advantage over Gijon but that is a bit misleading because the Bats lead the Red and Whites 6-1-0 when only games featuring the top seven teams are counted. Also, Valencia did not trail in October’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture, Mario Suarez scoring either side of half time as the Bats registered a 2-1 away triumph.
Atletico Madrid thrashed Granada 7-1 in their first Spanish Primera Division meeting this term and there are grounds for backing the Mattressers to beat the Nasrids again. Atletico is trading at odds of -189 with BoyleSports to register a Spanish Primera Division double over Granada and it seems that the aforementioned bookmaker is taking a stance.
Admittedly, Granada’s Spanish Primera Division home form is not that bad but, apart from a 2-1 derby defeat of Sevilla, the Nasrids have failed to beat a team on the top half of the ladder. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Atletico Madrid enjoys a 15-1-3 superiority over Granada and the Mattressers have been very good at disposing of the league’s lesser lights – they are 14-6-0 in their 20 matches against sides ranked lower than sixth. The Spanish Primera Division has four UEFA Champions League spots and fourth-placed Atletico cannot afford to drop points versus relegation-threatened opponents.
Sevilla to beat Leganes
Saturday 11th March, 15:15 GMT
Valencia to beat Gijon
Saturday 11th March, 12:00 GMT
Atletico Madrid to beat Granada
Saturday 11th March, 19:45 GMT
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