Cover All the Angles with the Pythagoreans in Serie A

Crotone are good value at home to Udinese in Serie A.

Crotone are good value at home to Udinese in Serie A.

Crotone won its first-ever Italian Serie A home match versus Udinese and one thinks that the numbers stack up for the Pythagoreans against the Little Zebras on Monday.

The Italian Serie A ladder suggests that Crotone is inferior to Udinese but, based on the evidence derived from 20 games featuring the two teams, one holds the opposite opinion. Ten sides – Juventus, Roma, Sampdoria, Milan, Atalanta, Torino, Fiorentina, Cagliari, Genoa and SPAL – have encountered both Crotone and Udinese in Italian Serie A and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Pythagoreans rate better than the Little Zebras 6-0-4. Crotone has got the better of a higher ranked Italian Serie A opponent at home, whereas Udinese is 0-0-3 versus higher ranked foes on the road.

When one views Italian Serie A betting coupons one looks for matches in which the market does not correlate with one’s collateral form analysis. One thinks there is sufficient data to support rating Crotone ahead of Udinese, whereas bookmakers are betting as though the Pythagoreans are not even equal to the Little Zebras. Crotone is available at odds of  +188   with BetVictor and that is wrong so the 15th-ranked Pythagoreans receive one’s headline vote.

Last season, Crotone beat Udinese 1-0 in the corresponding Italian Serie A fixture courtesy of a Marcus Rohden goal.

Internazionale has been a reliable Italian Serie A side to follow this term and one thinks that the Black and Blues will extend their unbeaten record with a home victory over Chievo at odds of  -250   with BetVictor when the top-half teams meet in Milan on Sunday.

Last season, Internazionale defeated Chievo 3-1 in the corresponding Italian Serie A fixture and one would not be surprised to see the Black and Blues register a similar winning margin on the weekend. One’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, derived from 20 matches in which either Internazionale or Chievo has lined up against Napoli, Sampdoria, Milan, Atalanta, Torino, Fiorentina, Cagliari, Genoa, SPAL and Verona, favours the Black and Blues very strongly over the Flying Donkeys 7-2-1. Internazionale’s Italian Serie A form is superb – it includes a 0-0 draw at top-of-the-ladder Napoli – whereas Chievo is 0-1-4 in its five games versus higher ranked opponents, regardless of venue. Internazionale is shaping as a legitimate Italian Serie A title contender but Chievo has done nothing to suggest it is anything more than a mid-ranking side.

There is an identical Italian Serie A collateral form case for Fiorentina as there is for Internazionale and bookmakers are quoting longer odds about the Purples than the Black and Blues so the former team makes one’s wagering short list at -172   with 888Sport.

Juventus, Lazio, Bologna, Chievo, Atalanta, Torino, Udinese, SPAL, Verona and Benevento are the 10 teams that have faced both Fiorentina and Sassuolo in Italian Serie A action and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Purples enjoy a 7-2-1 advantage over the Black and Greens. Also, Fiorentina won last term’s corresponding Italian Serie A fixture by a 2-1 margin and the Purples led 1-0 at Sassuolo in the reverse match prior to going down to 10 men in the 72nd minute – the game ended up finishing as a 2-2 draw.

Below are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form figures for all 10 matches in the 15th round of the championship. One toyed with recommending Juventus not to lose and Bologna to win but one’s weekend punting portfolio is Crotone to win, Internazionale to win and Fiorentina to win.

Roma 6-3-1
Napoli 4-1-5
Torino 5-2-5
Benevento 2-0-8
Bologna 6-1-3
Fiorentina 7-2-1
Internazionale 7-2-1
Sampdoria 3-0-5
Crotone 6-0-4
Verona 3-2-5

Tips Summary

Crotone to beat Udinese
Monday 4th December, 18:00 GMT
Odds:  +188

Inter to beat Chievo
Sunday 3rd December, 14:00 GMT
Odds:  -250

Fiorentina to beat Sassuolo
Sunday 3rd December, 14:00 GMT
Odds:  -172