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Atletico Madrid may have blown it chance of retaining the Spanish Primera Division title but Atleti represent the premier punt in the 29th round of championship matches.
Spanish Segunda Division-bound Cordoba is Atletico Madrid’s opponent on Saturday and Atleti appeal at odds of -227 with several bookmakers, including Bet365 and WilliamHill, to consign the team anchored to the bottom of the Spanish Primera Division ladder to its 10th straight loss.
Atletico Madrid has failed to keep in touch with Barcelona and Real Madrid at the top of the Spanish Primera Division ladder but it is not as though Atleti’s form has been that bad. Atletico Madrid is unbeaten in its last five Spanish Primera Division games – two wins and three draws – and Atleti were far too good for Cordoba in the reverse league fixture, romping to a 4-2 victory at the Vicente Calderon.
Realistically, five Spanish Primera Division teams are fighting over four UEFA Champions League spots and Atletico is just four points ahead of fifth-placed Sevilla. Atletico Madrid cannot afford to drop points to the Spanish Primera Division’s worst side, one that must be devoid of confidence after losing nine league matches in a row, including two home games against fellow strugglers Almeria and Getafe.
Atletico Madrid boss Diego Simeone will not care how his team scores provided that it bags three Spanish Primera Division points. The chances are, though, that Atletico Madrid will score versus Cordoba from a set piece – Atleti have scored a Spanish Primera Division-high 30 goals from set pieces and no top-flight side has conceded more goals from such situations than the Caliphs. Cordoba has given away 17 Spanish Primera Division goals from set pieces.
The regional derby between Valencia and Villarreal is the clear headline match on Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division program and one likes the third-placed host’s chance of prevailing at odds of +110 with Coral.
Almost without no-one noticing it Valencia has climbed above Atletico Madrid on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and, had Barcelona and Real Madrid shared the spoils in their recent Clasico clash, the Mestalla men would be within six points of the summit. No Spanish Primera Division team has lost fewer games than Valencia and, as one has written on numerous occasions, Villarreal’s overall record in matches versus the league’s heavyweights is hugely underwhelming.
Valencia defeated Villarreal 3-1 on the road when the sides met in the Spanish Primera Division in November and it was 3-0 to the away team until Manu Trigueros bagged a late, late goal for the side known as the Yellow Submarine.
Finally, there is a case for backing under two and a half goals in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division game between Malaga and Sociedad, an exotic betting option that is trading at odds of -147 with 888Sport and Unibet.
Sixteen of Malaga’s 28 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals, including eight of its 14 home games. Seventeen of Sociedad’s 28 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals, including nine of its 13 away games. David Moyes was a cautious coach during his time managing in the United Kingdom and his approach has not changed in Spain.
Sociedad hosted Malaga in the 10th round of the Spanish Primera Division and the match resulted in a 1-0 victory for the away team, Juanmi scoring in the 72nd minute. It was not one of the Spanish Primera Division’s greatest-ever games, with Sociedad and Malaga combining for just three attempts on target. One is forecasting yet another dull encounter.
Valencia to beat Villarreal
5th April 16:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Coral
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