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Collateral Form Lines Point to Koln Over Hamburg
Eric Roberts 2015-08-28 in Football Tips
Koln stands out as the best value bet in the third round of the German Bundesliga because the Billy Goats are available at odds of 83/1001.83-1200.83-1.200.83 with Betfred to beat Hamburg on Saturday.
Twelfth in last term’s German Bundesliga, Koln has made an excellent start to its second straight season in the elite division, parlaying its strong friendly results in one win and one draw from its first two league games. Koln kicked off its German Bundesliga campaign with a 3-1 away victory over Stuttgart – more about that result shortly – and followed it with a 1-1 home draw with Wolfsburg.
Hamburg bounced back from its 0-5 loss at Bayern Munchen in the German Bundesliga curtain raiser to beat Stuttgart 3-2 in round two but the Red Shorts were heading for another defeat until Florian Klein received his marching orders eight minutes in the second half. It took Hamburg more than half an hour to draw level through Pierre-Michel Lasogga and the Red Shorts did not deserve the 89th-minute winner that Johan Djorou struck for them. Hamburg really ought to be anchored to the foot of the German Bundesliga ladder.
Koln beat Hamburg 2-0 on the road in the most recent German Bundesliga match between the teams and then there is the recent collateral form line that revolves around Stuttgart, which clearly favours the Billy Goats even allowing for the fact that the Red Shorts posted an unmerited home victory.
The next most appealing bet on the German Bundesliga coupon is over two and a half goals in Saturday’s game between Stuttgart and Frankfurt, an option that is trading at odds of 59/1001.59-1690.59-1.690.59 with sister bookmakers 888Sport and Unibet.
Stuttgart and Frankfurt were two of the German Bundesliga’s entertainers last season – games involving both teams had a mean of at least three goals and, in terms of statistics at the popular 2.5-goal line, the Reds were 18-16 in favour of over and the Eagles were 23-11 in favour of over. Fans who paid to watch Stuttgart and Frankfurt got value for money.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Stuttgart and Frankfurt have carried on this term from where they left off last term and featured in several high-scoring matches since the German Bundesliga began. Both teams have scored in the four German Bundesliga games that Stuttgart and Frankfurt have played, with three of them going over the magic two-and-a-half-goal line.
Last season Frankfurt and Stuttgart treated fans to a couple of German Bundesliga gems – the Reds won 5-4 away in October and they did the double with a 3-1 home triumph in March.
Finally, the German Bundesliga banker of the round appears to be high-flying Dortmund, which has won each of its seven competitive matches under its new coach, Thomas Tuchel.
One would rather back Dortmund, which will host Hertha on Sunday, to win at short odds than Bayern Munchen, which has a Saturday home date with a Leverkusen side that caused it headaches last term. Dortmund beat Hertha 2-0 towards the end of last season’s German Bundesliga competition and, in light of its free-scoring form since Tuchel succeeded Jurgen Klopp, it would take a brave punter to bet on anything other than yet another BVB victory at odds of 1/41.25-4000.25-4.000.25 with Coral. It is hard to find fault with Dortmund’s back-to-back 4-0 German Bundesliga wins over Monchengladbach and Ingolstadt.
Koln to beat Hamburg
29th August 14:30 GMT
Stuttgart v Frankfurt Over 2.5 goals
29th August 14:30 GMT
Dortmund to beat Hertha
30th August 14:30 GMT
German Bundesliga competition and
in light of its free-scoring form since Tuchel succeeded Jurgen Klopp
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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