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English Premier League bookmakers will be falling all over themselves to accommodate punters who want to bet on Jamie Vardy’s remarkable scoring streak continuing this weekend but one thinks that are considerably smarter ways to wager.
One cannot wait for Bwin’s English Premier League corner-kick market to go up with odds about Saturday’s game between Manchester City and Southampton going over 10 and a half corners. (confirmed at 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83 )
Manchester City is tied with Liverpool for the most corner kicks in the English Premier League, with both the Citizens and the Reds averaging 7.54 corners per match. Manchester City’s English Premier League home corner-kick average is 8.57 and that includes an unusual Etihad Stadium game against Bournemouth in which the Citizens had one corner. Eight of Manchester City’s 12 English Premier League matches have gone over 10 and a half corner kicks, including four of its six home games. And Manchester City has featured in some huge English Premier League corner-kick counts, including two matches with 16 corners and one game with 19 corners.
Only five of Southampton’s 13 English Premier League matches have gone over 10 and a half corner kicks but the Saints are threatening to become one of the favourite teams of corners punters. Ten of Southampton’s 13 English Premier League games have gone over nine and a half corner kicks and the Saints have participated in three matches that have had at least 17 corners. One is expecting Southampton to make a good contribution to Saturday’s corner-kick tally since the Saints rank eighth in the English Premier League for corners won and seventh in the division for corners conceded.
You may have to bet at a flat 11 corner-kicks line to get a decent price about Saturday’s English Premier League game between Manchester City and Southampton being a festival of corners but one would consider doing that given the various statistics. For example, both of last season’s English Premier League matches between Manchester City and Southampton went over 11 and a half corner kicks.
With regards to more conventional English Premier League bets, the sides that stand out from the crowd are Arsenal and Liverpool for their Sunday games versus Norwich and Swansea respectively. Arsenal is available at odds of 31/50 1.62 -161 0.62 -1.61 0.62 with PaddyPower, while Liverpool is trading at odds of 1/2 1.50 -200 0.50 -2.00 0.50 with Betfred.
A 1-0 home victory over a Swansea team that is sliding down the English Premier League ladder is the only positive that Norwich has to show for its last six divisional performances and its other two wins have come at the expense of two fellow relegation candidates, Bournemouth and Sunderland.
Swansea is the most recent common English Premier League opponent of Norwich and Arsenal, with the Gunners winning 3-0 in Wales seven days before the Canaries won 1-0 in Norfolk. It is obvious that Arsenal is vastly superior to Norwich on that collateral form line and one fancies the Gunners to have too much ammunition for the Canaries.
Liverpool is getting to grips with the style of play that Jurgen Klopp wants to see the Reds perfect and one thinks that they will overwhelm Swansea at Anfield. Swansea boss Garry Monk is under major pressure but, for the first time in his reign, he has to prove that the Swans are a decent side because of him and not due to what he inherited.
Statistics devotees thought that Swansea was flattered by its eighth-place English Premier League finish last term because the Swans ranked poorly for things like attempts and corner kicks. This season, Swansea is low on data charts again – for example, its corner-kick average of 2.86 per English Premier League match is the worst in the division – and likely to find itself sucked into the relegation scrap.
Manchester City v Southampton Over 10.5 corners
28th November 15:00 GMT
Odds: 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83
Arsenal to beat Norwich
29th November 16:15 GMT
Odds: 31/50 1.62 -161 0.62 -1.61 0.62
Liverpool to beat Swansea
29th November 16:15 GMT
Odds: 1/2 1.50 -200 0.50 -2.00 0.50
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