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Celta to Beat Doomed Vallecano and Avoid Relegation
Carl Wright 2019-05-17 in Football Tips
Celta v Vallecano – 18th May – 19:45 BST
Celta is unlikely to drop into the Spanish Primera Division relegation zone during the final round of the championship and the Sky Blues can secure their place among the elite with a home win over lower ranked Vallecano on Sunday.
The even Spanish Primera Division head to head between Celta and Girona means it would take a goal difference turnaround of seven for the Sky Blues to slide into the bottom three and, quite frankly, that is not going to happen with them hosting a 19th-placed Vallecano team that is down already.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Celta enjoys a 12-3-4 advantage over Vallecano, including progressive counts of 2-0-0, 3-2-1, 10-3-2 and 11-3-4. January’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture did end in a 2-4 away loss for Celta but the Sky Blues were midway through their worst period of the season at the time and their recent form is much better than that of Vallecano, which has been very disappointing over the last six weeks apart from its shock 1-0 home victory over Real Madrid.
Celta has a couple of players listed as doubtful but that is nothing compared to Vallecano, which is likely to line up without four regular starters. Celta has won each of its last four Spanish Primera Division home matches, whereas Vallecano has each of its last eight top-flight road games so one is bullish the Sky Blues can get the better of Rayo.
TOP TIP! – Celta to beat Vallecano @ 27/501.54-1850.54-1.850.54 with Black Type
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TOP TIP! – Real Madrid to beat Betis @ 3/51.60-1670.60-1.670.60 with Black Type
Real Madrid is assured of finishing the Spanish Primera Division in third position and, while the Meringues have fallen quite some distance between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, they have won each of their five league home matches since Barca beat them 1-0 at the Santiago Bernabeu in March. Betis had collected only one point from its previous five Spanish Primera Division games before the Green and Whites netted a 90th-minute goal to edge out Huesca last weekend.
January’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 2-1 in favour of Real Madrid on the road and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Meringues boast a 12-2-5 lead over Betis, including progressive counts of 3-1-1, 4-1-2, 6-1-3 and 11-2-4. Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane is experimenting ahead of next term but no Meringues player will want to lose in front of the Santiago Bernabeu faithful and Betis has, by and large, been ordinary away from home.
Huesca v Leganes – 18th May – 19:45 BST
TOP TIP! – Huesca and Leganes to draw @ 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36
One’s final Spanish Primera Division pick this season is the draw in Sunday’s match between cellar dweller Huesca and Leganes at 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 with Bet365. Huesca must win to have any chance of avoiding the Spanish Primera Division wooden spoon but the relegated side is set to be without between four and six of its core squad. Furthermore, according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Huesca trails Leganes 8-1-10, including progressive counts of 0-0-2 and 1-0-5. Leganes does not have a great deal for which to play but the draw makes much more appeal than either of the two teams.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Real Madrid 12-2-5
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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