Arsenal versus Liverpool at the Emirates Stadium kicks off the weekend English Premier League round and the marquee match throws up the best betting opportunity as well.
Both Arsenal and Liverpool have eight English Premier League games remaining and, with the Reds five points outside the crucial top four, one is expecting that the 18-time title winners will not die wondering against a Gunners team that is on course to qualify for the UEFA Champions League again.
Saturday’s English Premier League match is a must-win game for Liverpool if it wants to gain a seat at European club football’s top table and participating in the UEFA Champions League is a major drawcard for new recruits. It is extremely difficult to build a squad capable to challenging for silverware with either UEFA Europa League football or no extra curricular action as a lure. So one is expecting that Liverpool will throw the kitchen sink at Arsenal because a draw would not be much use to it given its predicament.
Liverpool’s attack has only sparked into life since the turn of the year so one is inclined not to read too much into its season-long English Premier League statistics. Liverpool has scored in 13 of its last 14 English Premier League matches and the exception was its 0-0 draw at Everton in February.
Arsenal has scored in each of its last 10 English Premier League games, winning all except its 1-2 derby match at Tottenham. Arsenal is one of just three English Premier League teams yet to take part in a 0-0 draw this term – Manchester City and Stoke are the others – and 28 of its 30 top-flight games have featured at least two goals. If one wants entertainment, Arsenal is one of the sides to watch.
Betfair is quoting odds of -152 that both Arsenal and Liverpool score in the English Premier League match of the round. A draw would not be the end of the world for Arsenal and, therefore, one thinks that 1-1 is a live chance and odds of -137 with BetVictor about over two and a half goals make slightly less appeal than odds of -152 about no clean sheets. The reverse English Premier League fixture between Liverpool and Arsenal ended in a 2-2 draw at Anfield.
Understandably, Swansea’s goals output has diminished since it accepted big bucks from Manchester City to release its leading scorer, Wilfried Bony, during the winter transfer window. Swansea has scored nine goals in its 11 English Premier League game since Bony made his last appearance, only twice netting more than one goal in a match. One is keen on backing under two and a half goals at odds of -161 with SkyBet when Swansea entertains Hull on Saturday.
Eighteen of Hull’s 30 English Premier League games have gone under two and a half goals, including nine of its 15 matches on the road. For the record, 17 of Swansea’s 30 English Premier League games have gone under two and a half goals, including nine of its 15 matches at home. The reverse English Premier League fixture between Hull and Swansea resulted in a 1-0 Swans success at the KC Stadium.
Finally, Southampton is the English Premier League king of under two and a half goals and so one wants to back its game against Everton on Saturday to go under the popular line at odds of -154 with BetVictor.
Twenty of Southampton’s 30 English Premier League matches have gone under two and a half goals, including 10 of its 14 games on the road. Just one point and one position separates Southampton and Liverpool on the English Premier League ladder but, whereas one thinks that the Reds have their sights set on the UEFA Champions League, one thinks that the Saints are targeting the UEFA Europa League. Therefore, one thinks that Southampton will play its normal game versus an Everton team that is 13th in the English Premier League for a reason: it has gone backwards under Roberto Martinez.
Everton’s English Premier League under-two-and-a-half-goals numbers are not as compelling as those of Southampton – it is 15-15 overall and 6-8 at home – but one fancies the Saints defence to outpoint the Toffees offence. The reverse English Premier League fixture between Southampton and Everton resulted in a 3-0 Saints victory but Everton striker Romelo Lukaku opened the scoring with an unlucky own goal.
Arsenal v Liverpool BTTS
4th April 12:45 GMT
Where to Bet: Betfair
Swansea v Hull Under 2.5 goals
4th April 15:00 GMT
Where to Bet: SkyBet
Everton v Southampton Under 2.5 goals
4th April 15:00 GMT
Where to Bet: BetVictor
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